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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Monday 29 August 2022

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Ten matches cleared our threshold on Monday 29 August 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Konyaspor vs Fenerbahçe at 54% in the Süper Lig. The shortlist runs from 54% down to 32%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the ten fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the away win market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Konyaspor
1 : 0 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 22%
Draw 23%
Win 54%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 55%
#2 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shelbourne
0 : 1 FT
Derry City
Win 23%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#3 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Metal Kharkiv
1 : 1 FT
Inhulets
Win 25%
Draw 27%
Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
#4 La Liga Β· Spain
Valencia
0 : 1 FT
Atletico Madrid
Win 27%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#5 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Bohemians
1 : 3 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
Win 30%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 41%
Under 2.5 54%
#6 Primera División Β· Chile
Union Espanola
2 : 3 FT
A. Italiano
Win 38%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#7 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
0 : 0 FT
Willem II
Win 36%
Draw 25%
Win 39%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 58%
#8 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Oleksandria
2 : 1 FT
Minai
Win 34%
Draw 31%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 60%
#9 La Liga Β· Spain
Cadiz
0 : 4 FT
Athletic Club
Win 37%
Draw 30%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#10 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Asteras Tripolis
0 : 0 FT
Olympiakos Piraeus
Win 39%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 53%

Showing top 10 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Monday 29 August 2022?

ten fixtures met the criteria, led by Konyaspor vs Fenerbahçe at 54% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.