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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Tuesday 16 August 2022

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists 13 fixtures on Tuesday 16 August 2022. Burton Albion vs Ipswich led the list at 47% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 47% down to 31%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

League One supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 13 fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the away win market — 23%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One Β· England
Burton Albion
0 : 1 FT
Ipswich
Win 26%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#2 League One Β· England
Barnsley
3 : 0 FT
Bristol Rovers
Win 30%
Draw 28%
Win 42%
Under 2.5 58%
#3 Championship Β· England
Norwich
2 : 1 FT
Huddersfield
Win 32%
Draw 28%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 53%
#4 Superettan Β· Sweden
Vasteras SK FK
4 : 4 FT
Trelleborg
Win 35%
Draw 26%
Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#5 League Two Β· England
Newport County
2 : 3 FT
Salford City
Win 33%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 37%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
#6 League Two Β· England
Crawley Town
2 : 3 FT
Northampton
Win 34%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 36%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
#7 Championship Β· England
Burnley
1 : 1 FT
Hull City
Win 34%
Draw 32%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 63%
#8 Championship Β· England
Swansea
2 : 2 FT
Millwall
Win 39%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 58%
#9 League One Β· England
Peterborough
2 : 0 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#10 Super League Β· China
SHANGHAI SIPG
2 : 0 FT
Shenzhen Ruby FC
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#11 League Two Β· England
Swindon Town
1 : 1 FT
Leyton Orient
Win 37%
Draw 32%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 62%
#12 League Two Β· England
Hartlepool
0 : 0 FT
Tranmere
Win 35%
Draw 34%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 67%
#13 League Two Β· England
Colchester
1 : 0 FT
Bradford
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 31%

Showing top 13 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Tuesday 16 August 2022?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by Burton Albion vs Ipswich at 47% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.