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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Monday 4 April 2022

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists 14 fixtures on Monday 4 April 2022. Emirates Club vs Al Wahda FC led the list at 64% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 64% down to 30%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Pro League supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 14 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the away win market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Emirates Club
2 : 4 FT
Al Wahda FC
Win 15%
Draw 21%
✓ Win 64%
#2 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
1 : 0 FT
NAC Breda
Win 19%
Draw 24%
Win 56%
#3 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al Urooba
0 : 1 FT
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Win 27%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 50%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 61%
#4 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong AZ
0 : 1 FT
Roda
Win 28%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 48%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%
#5 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Dhafra
3 : 0 FT
Ajman
Win 30%
Draw 27%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 55%
#6 Premier League · England
Crystal Palace
3 : 0 FT
Arsenal
Win 31%
Draw 26%
Win 43%
#7 Premier Division · Ireland
UCD
0 : 2 FT
Derry City
Win 22%
Draw 35%
✓ Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#8 Premier Division · Ireland
Finn Harps
2 : 2 FT
Drogheda United
Win 32%
Draw 32%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 57%
#9 Süper Lig · Turkey
Hatayspor
0 : 0 FT
Adana Demirspor
Win 40%
Draw 25%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 62%
#10 Allsvenskan · Sweden
IF Elfsborg
0 : 2 FT
Mjallby AIF
Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
BTTS Yes 54%
#11 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong PSV U21
2 : 2 FT
FC Volendam
Win 40%
Draw 25%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#12 Superettan · Sweden
Landskrona BoIS
1 : 3 FT
Osters IF
Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#13 Ligue 2 · France
Nancy
0 : 2 FT
Ajaccio
Win 32%
Draw 38%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS No 68%
#14 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Wisla Plock
3 : 2 FT
Gornik Zabrze
✓ Win 39%
Draw 31%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 58%

Showing top 14 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Monday 4 April 2022?

14 fixtures met the criteria, led by Emirates Club vs Al Wahda FC at 64% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.