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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Sunday 20 March 2022

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 20 March 2022. Boavista vs FC Porto led the list at 58% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 58% down to 44%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the away win market — 35%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Boavista
0 : 1 FT
FC Porto
Win 16%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 58%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 59%
#2 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Willem II
2 : 2 FT
AZ Alkmaar
Win 17%
Draw 25%
Win 58%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 57%
#3 Super League · Switzerland
Grasshoppers
2 : 4 FT
FC Basel 1893
Win 24%
Draw 20%
✓ Win 56%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
#4 Serie B · Italy
Pordenone
1 : 1 FT
Brescia
Win 14%
Draw 32%
Win 54%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 61%
#5 Bundesliga · Germany
VfL Wolfsburg
0 : 2 FT
Bayer Leverkusen
Win 24%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 53%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 63%
#6 Ligue 1 · France
Lorient
0 : 0 FT
Strasbourg
Win 22%
Draw 26%
Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#7 Serie A · Italy
Empoli
1 : 1 FT
Hellas Verona
Win 26%
Draw 22%
Win 51%
Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 75%
#8 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Portimonense
1 : 2 FT
SC Braga
Win 18%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 50%
Under 2.5 58%
#9 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Chiangmai United
1 : 3 FT
Nong Bua Pitchaya
Win 23%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 50%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#10 Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Köln
1 : 1 FT
Borussia Dortmund
Win 24%
Draw 26%
Win 49%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#11 2. Bundesliga · Germany
SSV Jahn Regensburg
1 : 0 FT
SC Paderborn 07
Win 25%
Draw 26%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 69%
#12 Serie A · Italy
Bologna
0 : 1 FT
Atalanta
Win 20%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#13 La Liga · Spain
Celta Vigo
0 : 0 FT
Real Betis
Win 31%
Draw 23%
Win 46%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 65%
#14 Bundesliga · Austria
TSV Hartberg
0 : 0 FT
Lask Linz
Win 28%
Draw 26%
Win 46%
#15 Ligue 1 · France
Marseille
2 : 1 FT
Nice
Win 24%
Draw 31%
Win 45%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 63%
#16 Super League 1 · Greece
AEK Athens FC
0 : 1 FT
PAOK
Win 28%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#17 Premier League · Russia
FC UFA
1 : 1 FT
FC Krasnodar
Win 24%
Draw 31%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 53%
#18 Ligue 1 · France
Angers
1 : 0 FT
Stade Brestois 29
Win 26%
Draw 30%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#19 La Liga · Spain
Cadiz
1 : 0 FT
Villarreal
Win 25%
Draw 31%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#20 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Gent
1 : 0 FT
Anderlecht
Win 30%
Draw 26%
Win 44%
BTTS Yes 53%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Sunday 20 March 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Boavista vs FC Porto at 58% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.