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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Saturday 12 February 2022

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 12 February 2022. Norwich vs Manchester City sits top on 69% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 69% down to 45%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Championship supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the away win market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· England
Norwich
0 : 4 FT
Manchester City
Win 10%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 69%
✓ BTTS No 59% ✓ Manchester City Clean Sheet 53%
#2 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Zulte Waregem
1 : 2 FT
Anderlecht
Win 15%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 66%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#3 Super League Β· Switzerland
Lausanne
0 : 2 FT
Grasshoppers
Win 18%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 63%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 62%
#4 Championship Β· England
Hull City
0 : 1 FT
Fulham
Win 16%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 63%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 53%
#5 Bundesliga Β· Germany
VfL Bochum
4 : 2 FT
Bayern München
Win 15%
Draw 23%
Win 63%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#6 Premier League Β· England
Watford
0 : 2 FT
Brighton
Win 19%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 57%
#7 Championship Β· England
Barnsley
1 : 0 FT
QPR
Win 18%
Draw 26%
Win 56%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#8 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Vitesse
0 : 5 FT
PSV Eindhoven
Win 22%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 55%
#9 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
AS Eupen
0 : 1 FT
Gent
Win 18%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 55%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#10 Championship Β· England
Reading
2 : 3 FT
Coventry
Win 24%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#11 League One Β· England
Lincoln
1 : 1 FT
Wycombe
Win 22%
Draw 25%
Win 53%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#12 La Liga Β· Spain
Cadiz
0 : 0 FT
Celta Vigo
Win 18%
Draw 29%
Win 53%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#13 Bundesliga Β· Austria
SCR Altach
0 : 2 FT
Austria Vienna
Win 21%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#14 Serie B Β· Italy
Perugia
3 : 0 FT
Frosinone
Win 17%
Draw 33%
Win 49%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#15 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Pattaya United
0 : 1 FT
Buriram United
Win 26%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 49%
#16 Ligue 1 Β· France
Lyon
2 : 0 FT
Nice
Win 25%
Draw 27%
Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#17 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC ST. Gallen
5 : 1 FT
Servette FC
Win 29%
Draw 24%
Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#18 League Two Β· England
Sutton Utd
1 : 1 FT
Forest Green
Win 25%
Draw 28%
Win 47%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#19 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Chiangrai United
1 : 2 FT
BG Pathum United
Win 25%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 45%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 61%
#20 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Apollon Smirnis
0 : 0 FT
Panetolikos
Win 26%
Draw 29%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 59%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Saturday 12 February 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Norwich vs Manchester City at 69% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.