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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Thursday 28 October 2021

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists 14 fixtures on Thursday 28 October 2021. A. Italiano vs Colo Colo led the list at 66% in the Primera División. The shortlist runs from 66% down to 31%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 14 fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the away win market — 43%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primera División Β· Chile
A. Italiano
2 : 0 FT
Colo Colo
Win 15%
Draw 19%
Win 66%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 59%
#2 Serie B Β· Italy
Alessandria
1 : 1 FT
Frosinone
Win 20%
Draw 34%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 61%
#3 La Liga Β· Spain
Celta Vigo
0 : 2 FT
Real Sociedad
Win 26%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 46%
#4 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Degerfors IF
1 : 2 FT
IF Elfsborg
Win 29%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#5 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Brann
0 : 2 FT
Viking
Win 30%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 42%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 65%
#6 La Liga Β· Spain
Levante
2 : 2 FT
Atletico Madrid
Win 27%
Draw 32%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 61%
#7 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IFK Goteborg
3 : 0 FT
Djurgardens IF
Win 27%
Draw 32%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#8 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hazm
0 : 1 FT
Al-Ittihad FC
Win 30%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#9 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Urooba
2 : 2 FT
Sharjah FC
Win 34%
Draw 28%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#10 Serie B Β· Italy
Crotone
0 : 2 FT
Benevento
Win 30%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#11 Serie B Β· Italy
Brescia
1 : 1 FT
Lecce
Win 34%
Draw 29%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#12 Serie B Β· Italy
Cremonese
1 : 1 FT
Pisa
Win 35%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#13 Serie B Β· Italy
Cittadella
1 : 2 FT
Parma
Win 35%
Draw 31%
Win 34%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#14 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Jazira
2 : 0 FT
Baniyas SC
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
BTTS Yes 56%

Showing top 14 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Thursday 28 October 2021?

14 fixtures met the criteria, led by A. Italiano vs Colo Colo at 66% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.