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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Saturday 22 May 2021

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Eleven fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 22 May 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Ilves vs KuPS at 62% in the Veikkausliiga. The shortlist runs from 62% down to 32%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Veikkausliiga supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the eleven fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the away win market — 27%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Ilves
3 : 2 FT
KuPS
Win 15%
Draw 23%
Win 62%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#2 Primera División Β· Chile
Santiago Wanderers
0 : 0 FT
O'Higgins
Win 17%
Draw 29%
Win 53%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#3 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Lahti
1 : 0 FT
Honka
Win 26%
Draw 25%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 73%
#4 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
SJK
0 : 2 FT
HJK Helsinki
Win 18%
Draw 35%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#5 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Inter Turku
2 : 1 FT
Kooteepee
Win 23%
Draw 35%
Win 42%
Under 2.5 58%
#6 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Werder Bremen
2 : 4 FT
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Win 29%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#7 Primera División Β· Chile
Cobresal
2 : 0 FT
D. La Serena
Win 29%
Draw 31%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#8 Superettan Β· Sweden
Orgryte IS
0 : 2 FT
GIF Sundsvall
Win 28%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#9 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Union Berlin
2 : 1 FT
RB Leipzig
Win 31%
Draw 29%
Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#10 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Ostersunds FK
3 : 0 FT
Sirius
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 66%
#11 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Jeju United FC
2 : 2 FT
Seongnam FC
Win 31%
βœ“ Draw 37%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 57%

Showing top 11 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Saturday 22 May 2021?

eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by Ilves vs KuPS at 62% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.