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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Saturday 17 October 2020

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Seven matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 17 October 2020. Hertha BSC vs VfB Stuttgart led the list at 51% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 51% down to 36%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Bundesliga supplies four of the top 7, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the seven fixtures on this list that have since finished, two landed the away win market — 29%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hertha BSC
0 : 2 FT
VfB Stuttgart
Win 22%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 51%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 68%
#2 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Mjondalen
2 : 0 FT
Brann
Win 27%
Draw 28%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#3 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Molde
4 : 2 FT
Bodo/Glimt
Win 36%
Draw 22%
Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Germany
SC Freiburg
1 : 1 FT
Werder Bremen
Win 30%
Draw 31%
Win 39%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#5 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1 : 1 FT
VfL Wolfsburg
Win 32%
Draw 31%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#6 Bundesliga Β· Germany
FSV Mainz 05
0 : 1 FT
Bayer Leverkusen
Win 30%
Draw 34%
βœ“ Win 36%
BTTS Yes 56%
#7 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Falkenbergs FF
2 : 1 FT
Orebro SK
Win 30%
Draw 34%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 54%

Showing top 7 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Saturday 17 October 2020?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Hertha BSC vs VfB Stuttgart at 51% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.