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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Sunday 5 July 2020

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Eight fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 5 July 2020. The strongest reading belongs to Sirius vs Orebro SK at 52% in the Allsvenskan. The shortlist runs from 52% down to 32%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Allsvenskan supplies four of the top 8, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, one landed the away win market — 12%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Sirius
2 : 1 FT
Orebro SK
Win 24%
Draw 24%
Win 52%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#2 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
AIK Stockholm
1 : 1 FT
Falkenbergs FF
Win 32%
Draw 25%
Win 43%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#3 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IF Elfsborg
1 : 0 FT
Malmo FF
Win 35%
Draw 26%
Win 39%
BTTS Yes 54%
#4 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Sandefjord
0 : 3 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Win 33%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 38%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#5 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
BK Hacken
3 : 0 FT
Hammarby FF
Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 58%
#6 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Stromsgodset
2 : 2 FT
Kristiansund BK
Win 34%
Draw 29%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
#7 Eliteserien Β· Norway
ODD Ballklubb
0 : 0 FT
Haugesund
Win 44%
Draw 23%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 66%
#8 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Molde
2 : 1 FT
Mjondalen
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 53%

Showing top 8 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Sunday 5 July 2020?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Sirius vs Orebro SK at 52% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.