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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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WSG Wattens and SCR Altach share the spoils in a 2-2 draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

The points were shared at Tivoli Stadion Tirol, Relegation Group - 27, as WSG Wattens and SCR Altach drew 2-2 in the Bundesliga. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting WSG Wattens 1.34 xG and SCR Altach 0.86 xG, a combined 2.20. The scoreboard read 2-2 for 4 actual goals. SCR Altach outscored their 0.86 projection by 1.1. Those figures were built on strength ratings of WSG Wattens attack 0.99 / defence 0.94 against SCR Altach attack 0.80 / defence 1.00, drawn from 44/44 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it WSG Wattens 47% | Draw 30% | SCR Altach 23%, with WSG Wattens to win its most likely call at 47%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 30%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 38%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 65% and landed. Over 3.5 was 18% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 43% and the match saw both sides score — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 47% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (WSG Wattens 53%, SCR Altach 40%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 53%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

WSG Wattens's trading profile (58 games, 29 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 57% of their matches — today it did.

SCR Altach's trading profile (58 games, 29 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 48% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — WSG Wattens 1.10 PPG, SCR Altach 1.07 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. SCR Altach (home/away splits) scored 2 against a 0.83 average — above their attacking norm.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). A poor return for the projections: the match defied the majority of what the numbers expected.

💡 Key Insights