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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sat 15 Feb 2025

16:00

Venue

Lavanttal Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Austria

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sturm Graz Win

30%

Wolfsberger AC

3.34

30%

Draw

3.30

40%

Sturm Graz

2.52

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.4%

Away win

1 – 2

8.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.28

Wolfsberger AC xG

Total xG

2.77

1.49

Sturm Graz xG

30%
30%
40%
Wolfsberger ACDrawSturm Graz

3.34

30%

Home win

3.30

30%

Draw

2.52

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.71

42%

BTTS No

2.40

Clean Sheet

23%

Wolfsberger AC

4.44

28%

Sturm Graz

3.58

Win to Nil

7%

Wolfsberger AC

14.82

11%

Sturm Graz

9.01

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.3 9.4 7.0 3.5 1.3 0.4
1 8.0 12.0 8.9 4.4 1.7 0.5
2 5.1 7.6 5.7 2.8 1.1 0.3
3 2.2 3.2 2.4 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 0.7 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.276
λ Away (xG) 1.491
Total xG 2.767
League avg home goals 1.414
League avg away goals 1.188
Wolfsberger AC attack strength 1.037
Wolfsberger AC defence strength 1.017
Sturm Graz attack strength 1.235
Sturm Graz defence strength 0.870
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 39 / 39