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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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TSV Hartberg cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over SCR Altach.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

TSV Hartberg beat SCR Altach 2-0 at PROfertil ARENA, Relegation Round - 7, in the Bundesliga. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting TSV Hartberg 1.65 xG and SCR Altach 1.24 xG, a combined 2.90. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. SCR Altach landed 1.2 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of TSV Hartberg attack 0.86 / defence 1.06 against SCR Altach attack 0.97 / defence 1.20, drawn from 44/44 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it TSV Hartberg 44% | Draw 30% | SCR Altach 26%, with TSV Hartberg to win its most likely call at 44%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 55%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 81% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 60% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 51% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (TSV Hartberg 58%, SCR Altach 43%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 53%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

TSV Hartberg's trading profile (60 games, 30 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 58% of their matches — today it did not.

SCR Altach's trading profile (60 games, 30 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 48% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 40% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — TSV Hartberg 1.28 PPG, SCR Altach 0.90 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the TSV Hartberg win broke the near-deadlock. TSV Hartberg (home/away splits) scored 2 against a 1.17 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 1.53 average — tighter than their form line. SCR Altach (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 0.87 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). A poor return for the projections: the match defied the majority of what the numbers expected.

💡 Key Insights