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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Sun 26 Oct 2025

13:30

Venue

Merkur-Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Austria

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Wolfsberger AC Win

30%

Sturm Graz

3.29

27%

Draw

3.77

43%

Wolfsberger AC

2.32

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.1%

Away win

1 – 0

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.13

Sturm Graz xG

Total xG

2.53

1.40

Wolfsberger AC xG

30%
27%
43%
Sturm GrazDrawWolfsberger AC

3.29

30%

Home win

3.77

27%

Draw

2.32

43%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.96

49%

BTTS No

2.04

Clean Sheet

25%

Sturm Graz

4.06

32%

Wolfsberger AC

3.10

Win to Nil

7%

Sturm Graz

13.35

14%

Wolfsberger AC

7.19

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.0 11.1 7.8 3.6 1.3 0.4
1 9.0 12.6 8.8 4.1 1.4 0.4
2 5.1 7.1 5.0 2.3 0.8 0.2
3 1.9 2.7 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.131
λ Away (xG) 1.400
Total xG 2.531
League avg home goals 1.336
League avg away goals 1.349
Sturm Graz attack strength 0.896
Sturm Graz defence strength 0.851
Wolfsberger AC attack strength 1.220
Wolfsberger AC defence strength 0.945
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 31 / 32