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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sun 8 Feb 2026

16:00

Venue

Merkur-Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Austria

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sturm Graz Win

39%

Sturm Graz

2.54

24%

Draw

4.12

36%

Ried

2.74

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.6%

Home win

1 – 2

8.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.54

Sturm Graz xG

Total xG

3.01

1.47

Ried xG

39%
24%
36%
Sturm GrazDrawRied

2.54

39%

Home win

4.12

24%

Draw

2.74

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.65

40%

BTTS No

2.53

Clean Sheet

23%

Sturm Graz

4.35

22%

Ried

4.65

Win to Nil

9%

Sturm Graz

11.06

8%

Ried

12.75

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.9 7.3 5.3 2.6 1.0 0.3
1 7.6 11.2 8.2 4.0 1.5 0.4
2 5.8 8.6 6.3 3.1 1.1 0.3
3 3.0 4.4 3.2 1.6 0.6 0.2
4 1.1 1.7 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.536
λ Away (xG) 1.470
Total xG 3.006
League avg home goals 1.353
League avg away goals 1.311
Sturm Graz attack strength 0.942
Sturm Graz defence strength 1.183
Ried attack strength 0.948
Ried defence strength 1.205
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 39 / 17