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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Sun 10 Aug 2025

16:00

Venue

Merkur-Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Austria

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sturm Graz Win

52%

Sturm Graz

1.92

23%

Draw

4.37

25%

Rapid Vienna

4.01

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.6%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

1 – 0

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.83

Sturm Graz xG

Total xG

3.03

1.20

Rapid Vienna xG

52%
23%
25%
Sturm GrazDrawRapid Vienna

1.92

52%

Home win

4.37

23%

Draw

4.01

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.71

41%

BTTS No

2.42

Clean Sheet

30%

Sturm Graz

3.31

16%

Rapid Vienna

6.24

Win to Nil

16%

Sturm Graz

6.35

4%

Rapid Vienna

25.05

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.8 5.8 3.5 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 8.9 10.6 6.4 2.5 0.8 0.2
2 8.1 9.7 5.8 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 4.9 5.9 3.6 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 2.3 2.7 1.6 0.6 0.2
5 0.8 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.831
λ Away (xG) 1.198
Total xG 3.029
League avg home goals 1.599
League avg away goals 1.199
Sturm Graz attack strength 1.145
Sturm Graz defence strength 1.023
Rapid Vienna attack strength 0.977
Rapid Vienna defence strength 1.000
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 23 / 23