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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Championship Round - 2

Kick-off

Fri 4 Apr 2025

18:30

Venue

Merkur Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Austria

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sturm Graz Win

64%

Sturm Graz

1.56

21%

Draw

4.69

15%

Rapid Vienna

6.78

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

7.8%

Home win

3 – 1

7.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.49

Sturm Graz xG

Total xG

3.68

1.19

Rapid Vienna xG

64%
21%
15%
Sturm GrazDrawRapid Vienna

1.56

64%

Home win

4.69

21%

Draw

6.78

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

88%

Over 1.5

1.14

12%

Under 1.5

8.33

71%

Over 2.5

1.41

29%

Under 2.5

3.45

50%

Over 3.5

2.00

50%

Under 3.5

2.00

31%

Over 4.5

3.23

69%

Under 4.5

1.45

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

66%

BTTS Yes

1.52

34%

BTTS No

2.91

Clean Sheet

30%

Sturm Graz

3.29

8%

Rapid Vienna

12.09

Win to Nil

19%

Sturm Graz

5.15

1%

Rapid Vienna

81.99

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.5 3.0 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.1
1 6.3 7.5 4.4 1.8 0.5 0.1
2 7.8 9.3 5.5 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 6.5 7.7 4.6 1.8 0.5 0.1
4 4.0 4.8 2.9 1.1 0.3 0.1
5 2.0 2.4 1.4 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.492
λ Away (xG) 1.192
Total xG 3.684
League avg home goals 1.597
League avg away goals 1.200
Sturm Graz attack strength 1.532
Sturm Graz defence strength 1.082
Rapid Vienna attack strength 0.919
Rapid Vienna defence strength 1.018
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 44