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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Championship Group - 28

Kick-off

Wed 22 Apr 2026

19:30

Venue

Merkur-Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Austria

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sturm Graz Win

38%

Sturm Graz

2.60

28%

Draw

3.51

33%

Lask Linz

3.02

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.7%

Home win

0 – 1

9.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.31

Sturm Graz xG

Total xG

2.50

1.20

Lask Linz xG

38%
28%
33%
Sturm GrazDrawLask Linz

2.60

38%

Home win

3.51

28%

Draw

3.02

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.94

48%

BTTS No

2.07

Clean Sheet

30%

Sturm Graz

3.31

27%

Lask Linz

3.70

Win to Nil

12%

Sturm Graz

8.62

9%

Lask Linz

11.15

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.2 9.8 5.9 2.3 0.7 0.2
1 10.7 12.8 7.7 3.1 0.9 0.2
2 7.0 8.4 5.0 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 3.0 3.6 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 1.0 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.307
λ Away (xG) 1.197
Total xG 2.504
League avg home goals 1.346
League avg away goals 1.147
Sturm Graz attack strength 0.965
Sturm Graz defence strength 0.929
Lask Linz attack strength 1.123
Lask Linz defence strength 1.006
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 44