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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Sun 23 Nov 2025

13:30

Venue

Merkur-Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Austria

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sturm Graz Win

35%

Sturm Graz

2.88

31%

Draw

3.27

35%

Lask Linz

2.88

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

13.3%

Away win

1 – 0

13.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.02

Sturm Graz xG

Total xG

2.03

1.02

Lask Linz xG

35%
31%
35%
Sturm GrazDrawLask Linz

2.88

35%

Home win

3.27

31%

Draw

2.88

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

60%

Over 1.5

1.67

40%

Under 1.5

2.50

33%

Over 2.5

3.03

67%

Under 2.5

1.49

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.45

59%

BTTS No

1.69

Clean Sheet

36%

Sturm Graz

2.76

36%

Lask Linz

2.76

Win to Nil

13%

Sturm Graz

7.96

13%

Lask Linz

7.97

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.1 13.3 6.8 2.3 0.6 0.1
1 13.3 13.5 6.9 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 6.8 6.9 3.5 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 2.3 2.3 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.017
λ Away (xG) 1.017
Total xG 2.034
League avg home goals 1.393
League avg away goals 1.307
Sturm Graz attack strength 0.861
Sturm Graz defence strength 0.961
Lask Linz attack strength 0.809
Lask Linz defence strength 0.848
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 35