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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sun 16 Mar 2025

16:00

Venue

Merkur Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Austria

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sturm Graz Win

48%

Sturm Graz

2.09

30%

Draw

3.38

23%

Lask Linz

4.44

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.7%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

1 – 0

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.80

Sturm Graz xG

Total xG

3.01

1.21

Lask Linz xG

48%
30%
23%
Sturm GrazDrawLask Linz

2.09

48%

Home win

3.38

30%

Draw

4.44

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.62

38%

BTTS No

2.62

Clean Sheet

30%

Sturm Graz

3.36

17%

Lask Linz

6.04

Win to Nil

14%

Sturm Graz

7.02

4%

Lask Linz

26.82

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.9 6.0 3.6 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 8.9 10.7 6.5 2.6 0.8 0.2
2 8.0 9.7 5.9 2.4 0.7 0.2
3 4.8 5.8 3.5 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 2.1 2.6 1.6 0.6 0.2
5 0.8 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.798
λ Away (xG) 1.212
Total xG 3.010
League avg home goals 1.531
League avg away goals 1.210
Sturm Graz attack strength 1.430
Sturm Graz defence strength 1.016
Lask Linz attack strength 0.986
Lask Linz defence strength 0.821
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 43 / 43