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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sun 7 Dec 2025

16:00

Venue

Merkur-Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Austria

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Grazer AK Win

37%

Sturm Graz

2.73

26%

Draw

3.81

37%

Grazer AK

2.69

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.5%

Away win

1 – 0

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.31

Sturm Graz xG

Total xG

2.62

1.32

Grazer AK xG

37%
26%
37%
Sturm GrazDrawGrazer AK

2.73

37%

Home win

3.81

26%

Draw

2.69

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.87

47%

BTTS No

2.15

Clean Sheet

27%

Sturm Graz

3.73

27%

Grazer AK

3.70

Win to Nil

10%

Sturm Graz

10.19

10%

Grazer AK

9.96

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.3 9.5 6.3 2.8 0.9 0.2
1 9.5 12.5 8.2 3.6 1.2 0.3
2 6.2 8.2 5.4 2.4 0.8 0.2
3 2.7 3.6 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 0.9 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.307
λ Away (xG) 1.317
Total xG 2.624
League avg home goals 1.345
League avg away goals 1.389
Sturm Graz attack strength 0.861
Sturm Graz defence strength 1.246
Grazer AK attack strength 0.761
Grazer AK defence strength 1.129
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 37 / 37