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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sun 22 Feb 2026

13:30

Venue

Merkur-Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Austria

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sturm Graz Win

45%

Sturm Graz

2.23

28%

Draw

3.61

27%

FC BW Linz

3.64

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

0 – 0

9.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.33

Sturm Graz xG

Total xG

2.31

0.98

FC BW Linz xG

45%
28%
27%
Sturm GrazDrawFC BW Linz

2.23

45%

Home win

3.61

28%

Draw

3.64

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.17

54%

BTTS No

1.85

Clean Sheet

38%

Sturm Graz

2.66

26%

FC BW Linz

3.80

Win to Nil

17%

Sturm Graz

5.94

7%

FC BW Linz

13.82

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.9 9.7 4.7 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 13.2 12.9 6.3 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 8.8 8.6 4.2 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 3.9 3.8 1.9 0.6 0.1
4 1.3 1.3 0.6 0.2
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.334
λ Away (xG) 0.979
Total xG 2.313
League avg home goals 1.339
League avg away goals 1.110
Sturm Graz attack strength 0.904
Sturm Graz defence strength 1.122
FC BW Linz attack strength 0.787
FC BW Linz defence strength 1.102
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 41 / 41