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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Sun 14 Sep 2025

16:00

Venue

Merkur-Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Austria

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sturm Graz Win

45%

Sturm Graz

2.22

23%

Draw

4.27

32%

Austria Vienna

3.17

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.6%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

1 – 0

7.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.72

Sturm Graz xG

Total xG

3.13

1.41

Austria Vienna xG

45%
23%
32%
Sturm GrazDrawAustria Vienna

2.22

45%

Home win

4.27

23%

Draw

3.17

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.61

38%

BTTS No

2.64

Clean Sheet

24%

Sturm Graz

4.10

18%

Austria Vienna

5.60

Win to Nil

11%

Sturm Graz

9.11

6%

Austria Vienna

17.73

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.4 6.1 4.3 2.0 0.7 0.2
1 7.5 10.6 7.5 3.5 1.2 0.3
2 6.5 9.1 6.4 3.0 1.1 0.3
3 3.7 5.2 3.7 1.7 0.6 0.2
4 1.6 2.3 1.6 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.723
λ Away (xG) 1.411
Total xG 3.134
League avg home goals 1.439
League avg away goals 1.287
Sturm Graz attack strength 1.082
Sturm Graz defence strength 1.084
Austria Vienna attack strength 1.011
Austria Vienna defence strength 1.107
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 26 / 27