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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Championship Round - 6

Kick-off

Sun 27 Apr 2025

16:00

Venue

Merkur Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Austria

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sturm Graz Win

46%

Sturm Graz

2.20

27%

Draw

3.71

28%

Austria Vienna

3.63

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.7%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

1 – 2

7.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.89

Sturm Graz xG

Total xG

3.35

1.46

Austria Vienna xG

46%
27%
28%
Sturm GrazDrawAustria Vienna

2.20

46%

Home win

3.71

27%

Draw

3.63

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

65%

Over 2.5

1.54

35%

Under 2.5

2.86

43%

Over 3.5

2.33

57%

Under 3.5

1.75

25%

Over 4.5

4.00

75%

Under 4.5

1.33

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

67%

BTTS Yes

1.48

33%

BTTS No

3.08

Clean Sheet

23%

Sturm Graz

4.30

15%

Austria Vienna

6.63

Win to Nil

11%

Sturm Graz

9.45

4%

Austria Vienna

24.07

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.5 5.1 3.7 1.8 0.7 0.2
1 6.6 9.7 7.1 3.4 1.3 0.4
2 6.3 9.2 6.7 3.2 1.2 0.3
3 4.0 5.8 4.2 2.0 0.7 0.2
4 1.9 2.7 2.0 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.7 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.891
λ Away (xG) 1.459
Total xG 3.350
League avg home goals 1.597
League avg away goals 1.200
Sturm Graz attack strength 1.470
Sturm Graz defence strength 1.072
Austria Vienna attack strength 1.134
Austria Vienna defence strength 0.806
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 44