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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Fri 7 Feb 2025

19:30

Venue

Merkur Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Austria

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sturm Graz Win

55%

Sturm Graz

1.82

23%

Draw

4.38

22%

Austria Vienna

4.47

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.1%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

1 – 0

8.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.94

Sturm Graz xG

Total xG

3.11

1.17

Austria Vienna xG

55%
23%
22%
Sturm GrazDrawAustria Vienna

1.82

55%

Home win

4.38

23%

Draw

4.47

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.68

40%

BTTS No

2.47

Clean Sheet

31%

Sturm Graz

3.23

14%

Austria Vienna

6.94

Win to Nil

17%

Sturm Graz

5.89

3%

Austria Vienna

31.03

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.5 5.2 3.1 1.2 0.4 0.1
1 8.6 10.1 5.9 2.3 0.7 0.2
2 8.4 9.8 5.8 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 5.4 6.3 3.7 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 2.6 3.1 1.8 0.7 0.2
5 1.0 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.938
λ Away (xG) 1.172
Total xG 3.110
League avg home goals 1.540
League avg away goals 1.196
Sturm Graz attack strength 1.505
Sturm Graz defence strength 0.976
Austria Vienna attack strength 1.005
Austria Vienna defence strength 0.836
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 38