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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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SCR Altach and Grazer AK share the spoils in a 2-2 draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

SCR Altach and Grazer AK finished level at 2-2 at CASHPOINT Arena, Relegation Round - 8, in the Bundesliga. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting SCR Altach 1.63 xG and Grazer AK 1.10 xG, a combined 2.73. The scoreboard read 2-2 for 4 actual goals. Grazer AK outscored their 1.10 projection by 0.9. Those figures were built on strength ratings of SCR Altach attack 0.78 / defence 0.99 against Grazer AK attack 0.92 / defence 1.31, drawn from 44/22 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it SCR Altach 47% | Draw 30% | Grazer AK 23%, with SCR Altach to win its most likely call at 47%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 30%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 51%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 78% and landed. Over 3.5 was 29% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 56% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 50% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (SCR Altach 45%, Grazer AK 55%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 57%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

SCR Altach's trading profile (29 games, 14 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 52% of their matches — today it did.

Grazer AK's trading profile (29 games, 14 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 62% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — SCR Altach 0.79 PPG, Grazer AK 0.79 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. SCR Altach (home/away splits) scored 2 against a 1.00 average — above their attacking norm and shipped 2 against a 1.14 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Grazer AK (home/away splits) scored 2 against a 1.07 average — above their attacking norm.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.

💡 Key Insights