Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sat 16 Aug 2025

18:30

Venue

Innviertel Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Austria

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sturm Graz Win

27%

Ried

3.65

24%

Draw

4.16

49%

Sturm Graz

2.06

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.5%

Away win

0 – 1

9.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.21

Ried xG

Total xG

2.89

1.68

Sturm Graz xG

27%
24%
49%
RiedDrawSturm Graz

3.65

27%

Home win

4.16

24%

Draw

2.06

49%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.75

43%

BTTS No

2.33

Clean Sheet

19%

Ried

5.38

30%

Sturm Graz

3.34

Win to Nil

5%

Ried

19.63

15%

Sturm Graz

6.88

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.6 9.4 7.9 4.4 1.9 0.6
1 6.7 11.3 9.5 5.3 2.2 0.8
2 4.0 6.8 5.7 3.2 1.4 0.5
3 1.6 2.7 2.3 1.3 0.5 0.2
4 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.206
λ Away (xG) 1.683
Total xG 2.889
League avg home goals 1.467
League avg away goals 1.277
Ried attack strength 0.963
Ried defence strength 1.207
Sturm Graz attack strength 1.092
Sturm Graz defence strength 0.854
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 2 / 24