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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Relegation Group - 28

Kick-off

Tue 21 Apr 2026

19:30

Venue

Innviertel Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Austria

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Ried Win

39%

Ried

2.58

30%

Draw

3.30

31%

Grazer AK

3.24

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.8%

Home win

0 – 1

11.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.20

Ried xG

Total xG

2.24

1.04

Grazer AK xG

39%
30%
31%
RiedDrawGrazer AK

2.58

39%

Home win

3.30

30%

Draw

3.24

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.18

54%

BTTS No

1.85

Clean Sheet

35%

Ried

2.83

30%

Grazer AK

3.32

Win to Nil

14%

Ried

7.30

9%

Grazer AK

10.73

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.6 11.1 5.8 2.0 0.5 0.1
1 12.8 13.3 6.9 2.4 0.6 0.1
2 7.7 8.0 4.1 1.4 0.4 0.1
3 3.1 3.2 1.7 0.6 0.1
4 0.9 1.0 0.5 0.2
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.199
λ Away (xG) 1.041
Total xG 2.240
League avg home goals 1.346
League avg away goals 1.147
Ried attack strength 0.796
Ried defence strength 1.081
Grazer AK attack strength 0.838
Grazer AK defence strength 1.119
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 22 / 44