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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Championship Group - 32

Kick-off

Sun 17 May 2026

13:30

Venue

Red Bull Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Austria

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Red Bull Salzburg Win

37%

Red Bull Salzburg

2.73

30%

Draw

3.38

34%

TSV Hartberg

2.96

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.6%

Home win

0 – 1

11.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.19

Red Bull Salzburg xG

Total xG

2.33

1.14

TSV Hartberg xG

37%
30%
34%
Red Bull SalzburgDrawTSV Hartberg

2.73

37%

Home win

3.38

30%

Draw

2.96

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.08

52%

BTTS No

1.93

Clean Sheet

32%

Red Bull Salzburg

3.12

30%

TSV Hartberg

3.30

Win to Nil

12%

Red Bull Salzburg

8.53

10%

TSV Hartberg

9.76

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.7 11.1 6.3 2.4 0.7 0.2
1 11.6 13.2 7.5 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 6.9 7.9 4.5 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 2.8 3.1 1.8 0.7 0.2
4 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.194
λ Away (xG) 1.138
Total xG 2.332
League avg home goals 1.346
League avg away goals 1.147
Red Bull Salzburg attack strength 0.998
Red Bull Salzburg defence strength 1.017
TSV Hartberg attack strength 0.975
TSV Hartberg defence strength 0.889
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 44