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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Sat 20 Sep 2025

16:00

Venue

Red Bull Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Austria

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Red Bull Salzburg Win

39%

Red Bull Salzburg

2.53

24%

Draw

4.08

36%

Sturm Graz

2.77

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.6%

Home win

1 – 2

8.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.52

Red Bull Salzburg xG

Total xG

2.96

1.44

Sturm Graz xG

39%
24%
36%
Red Bull SalzburgDrawSturm Graz

2.53

39%

Home win

4.08

24%

Draw

2.77

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.68

40%

BTTS No

2.47

Clean Sheet

24%

Red Bull Salzburg

4.22

22%

Sturm Graz

4.56

Win to Nil

9%

Red Bull Salzburg

10.71

8%

Sturm Graz

12.64

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.2 7.5 5.4 2.6 0.9 0.3
1 7.9 11.4 8.2 3.9 1.4 0.4
2 6.0 8.6 6.2 3.0 1.1 0.3
3 3.0 4.4 3.1 1.5 0.5 0.2
4 1.1 1.7 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.517
λ Away (xG) 1.441
Total xG 2.958
League avg home goals 1.382
League avg away goals 1.275
Red Bull Salzburg attack strength 1.404
Red Bull Salzburg defence strength 0.879
Sturm Graz attack strength 1.286
Sturm Graz defence strength 0.782
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 28 / 27