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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Championship Round - 3

Kick-off

Sun 13 Apr 2025

13:30

Venue

Red Bull Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Austria

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Red Bull Salzburg Win

55%

Red Bull Salzburg

1.82

28%

Draw

3.63

17%

Sturm Graz

5.73

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

10.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

10.6%

Draw

2 – 0

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.86

Red Bull Salzburg xG

Total xG

2.87

1.00

Sturm Graz xG

55%
28%
17%
Red Bull SalzburgDrawSturm Graz

1.82

55%

Home win

3.63

28%

Draw

5.73

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.78

44%

BTTS No

2.27

Clean Sheet

37%

Red Bull Salzburg

2.72

16%

Sturm Graz

6.45

Win to Nil

20%

Red Bull Salzburg

4.95

3%

Sturm Graz

36.96

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.7 5.7 2.9 1.0 0.2
1 10.6 10.6 5.3 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 9.9 9.9 5.0 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 6.1 6.2 3.1 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 2.9 2.9 1.4 0.5 0.1
5 1.1 1.1 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.864
λ Away (xG) 1.002
Total xG 2.866
League avg home goals 1.597
League avg away goals 1.200
Red Bull Salzburg attack strength 1.104
Red Bull Salzburg defence strength 0.777
Sturm Graz attack strength 1.076
Sturm Graz defence strength 1.057
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 44