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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sun 2 Mar 2025

16:00

Venue

Red Bull Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Austria

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Red Bull Salzburg Win

48%

Red Bull Salzburg

2.09

30%

Draw

3.34

22%

Sturm Graz

4.52

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.1%

Home win

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.70

Red Bull Salzburg xG

Total xG

2.83

1.12

Sturm Graz xG

48%
30%
22%
Red Bull SalzburgDrawSturm Graz

2.09

48%

Home win

3.34

30%

Draw

4.52

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.72

42%

BTTS No

2.39

Clean Sheet

32%

Red Bull Salzburg

3.08

18%

Sturm Graz

5.48

Win to Nil

16%

Red Bull Salzburg

6.43

4%

Sturm Graz

24.78

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.9 6.7 3.7 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 10.1 11.3 6.4 2.4 0.7 0.2
2 8.6 9.6 5.4 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 4.9 5.5 3.1 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 2.1 2.3 1.3 0.5 0.1
5 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.702
λ Away (xG) 1.124
Total xG 2.826
League avg home goals 1.498
League avg away goals 1.207
Red Bull Salzburg attack strength 1.134
Red Bull Salzburg defence strength 0.878
Sturm Graz attack strength 1.062
Sturm Graz defence strength 1.003
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 41 / 41