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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Sun 5 Oct 2025

16:00

Venue

Red Bull Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Austria

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Red Bull Salzburg Win

43%

Red Bull Salzburg

2.35

25%

Draw

3.93

32%

Rapid Vienna

3.12

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.7%

Home win

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.48

Red Bull Salzburg xG

Total xG

2.73

1.25

Rapid Vienna xG

43%
25%
32%
Red Bull SalzburgDrawRapid Vienna

2.35

43%

Home win

3.93

25%

Draw

3.12

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.82

45%

BTTS No

2.23

Clean Sheet

29%

Red Bull Salzburg

3.49

23%

Rapid Vienna

4.39

Win to Nil

12%

Red Bull Salzburg

8.21

7%

Rapid Vienna

13.71

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5 8.2 5.1 2.1 0.7 0.2
1 9.7 12.1 7.5 3.1 1.0 0.2
2 7.1 8.9 5.6 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 3.5 4.4 2.8 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 1.3 1.6 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.479
λ Away (xG) 1.250
Total xG 2.729
League avg home goals 1.330
League avg away goals 1.263
Red Bull Salzburg attack strength 1.319
Red Bull Salzburg defence strength 0.963
Rapid Vienna attack strength 1.028
Rapid Vienna defence strength 0.843
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 30 / 30