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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sat 30 Aug 2025

16:00

Venue

Red Bull Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Austria

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Red Bull Salzburg Win

74%

Red Bull Salzburg

1.35

19%

Draw

5.39

7%

FC BW Linz

13.44

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

13.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

11.4%

Home win

3 – 0

10.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.36

Red Bull Salzburg xG

Total xG

3.03

0.67

FC BW Linz xG

74%
19%
Red Bull SalzburgDrawFC BW Linz

1.35

74%

Home win

5.39

19%

Draw

13.44

7%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.21

55%

BTTS No

1.83

Clean Sheet

51%

Red Bull Salzburg

1.95

9%

FC BW Linz

10.61

Win to Nil

38%

Red Bull Salzburg

2.63

1%

FC BW Linz

142.64

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.8 3.2 1.1 0.2
1 11.4 7.6 2.5 0.6 0.1
2 13.5 9.0 3.0 0.7 0.1
3 10.6 7.1 2.4 0.5 0.1
4 6.3 4.2 1.4 0.3 0.1
5 3.0 2.0 0.7 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.362
λ Away (xG) 0.667
Total xG 3.029
League avg home goals 1.413
League avg away goals 1.308
Red Bull Salzburg attack strength 1.467
Red Bull Salzburg defence strength 0.696
FC BW Linz attack strength 0.732
FC BW Linz defence strength 1.139
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 26 / 26