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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Championship Round - 9

Kick-off

Sun 18 May 2025

16:00

Venue

Allianz Stadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Austria

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rapid Vienna Win

55%

Rapid Vienna

1.82

26%

Draw

3.80

19%

Sturm Graz

5.36

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.0%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

1 – 0

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.98

Rapid Vienna xG

Total xG

3.10

1.12

Sturm Graz xG

55%
26%
19%
Rapid ViennaDrawSturm Graz

1.82

55%

Home win

3.80

26%

Draw

5.36

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.65

39%

BTTS No

2.53

Clean Sheet

33%

Rapid Vienna

3.07

14%

Sturm Graz

7.27

Win to Nil

18%

Rapid Vienna

5.58

3%

Sturm Graz

38.99

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.5 5.0 2.8 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 8.9 10.0 5.6 2.1 0.6 0.1
2 8.8 9.9 5.5 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 5.8 6.5 3.7 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 2.9 3.2 1.8 0.7 0.2
5 1.1 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.984
λ Away (xG) 1.121
Total xG 3.105
League avg home goals 1.598
League avg away goals 1.201
Rapid Vienna attack strength 1.191
Rapid Vienna defence strength 0.881
Sturm Graz attack strength 1.060
Sturm Graz defence strength 1.043
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 44