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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Austria Vienna cruise to a comfortable 0-2 victory over Rapid Vienna.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Austria Vienna beat Rapid Vienna 0-2 at Allianz Stadion, Championship Group - 31, in the Bundesliga. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Rapid Vienna 1.25 xG and Austria Vienna 1.22 xG, a combined 2.47. The scoreboard read 0-2 for 2 actual goals. Rapid Vienna fell 1.3 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Rapid Vienna attack 0.99 / defence 0.90 against Austria Vienna attack 1.19 / defence 0.94, drawn from 44/44 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Rapid Vienna 36% | Draw 29% | Austria Vienna 35%, with Rapid Vienna to win its most likely call at 36%. The actual Austria Vienna win had been the model's second-ranked read at 35%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 45%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 71% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 51% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 52% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Rapid Vienna 48%, Austria Vienna 56%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 57%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Rapid Vienna's trading profile (62 games, 31 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 56% of their matches — today it did not.

Austria Vienna's trading profile (62 games, 31 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 58% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Rapid Vienna 1.40 PPG, Austria Vienna 1.68 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Austria Vienna win broke the near-deadlock. Rapid Vienna (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.55 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 2 against a 1.00 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Austria Vienna (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.26 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss). A poor return for the projections: the match defied the majority of what the numbers expected.

💡 Key Insights