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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Fri 1 Aug 2025

19:30

Venue

Raiffeisen Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Austria

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lask Linz Win

44%

Lask Linz

2.28

30%

Draw

3.37

26%

Sturm Graz

3.79

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.3%

Home win

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.63

Lask Linz xG

Total xG

2.87

1.24

Sturm Graz xG

44%
30%
26%
Lask LinzDrawSturm Graz

2.28

44%

Home win

3.37

30%

Draw

3.79

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.67

40%

BTTS No

2.48

Clean Sheet

29%

Lask Linz

3.45

20%

Sturm Graz

5.10

Win to Nil

13%

Lask Linz

7.86

5%

Sturm Graz

19.32

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.7 7.0 4.4 1.8 0.6 0.1
1 9.3 11.5 7.1 2.9 0.9 0.2
2 7.5 9.3 5.8 2.4 0.7 0.2
3 4.1 5.1 3.1 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 1.7 2.1 1.3 0.5 0.2
5 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.630
λ Away (xG) 1.238
Total xG 2.868
League avg home goals 1.640
League avg away goals 1.207
Lask Linz attack strength 0.988
Lask Linz defence strength 1.002
Sturm Graz attack strength 1.023
Sturm Graz defence strength 1.006
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 22 / 22