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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Sat 4 Oct 2025

16:00

Venue

Merkur-Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Austria

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Wolfsberger AC Win

28%

Grazer AK

3.56

26%

Draw

3.92

46%

Wolfsberger AC

2.16

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.8%

Away win

1 – 2

9.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.12

Grazer AK xG

Total xG

2.65

1.52

Wolfsberger AC xG

28%
26%
46%
Grazer AKDrawWolfsberger AC

3.56

28%

Home win

3.92

26%

Draw

2.16

46%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.90

47%

BTTS No

2.12

Clean Sheet

22%

Grazer AK

4.58

32%

Wolfsberger AC

3.08

Win to Nil

6%

Grazer AK

16.30

15%

Wolfsberger AC

6.63

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.1 10.8 8.2 4.2 1.6 0.5
1 8.0 12.1 9.2 4.7 1.8 0.5
2 4.5 6.8 5.2 2.6 1.0 0.3
3 1.7 2.6 1.9 1.0 0.4 0.1
4 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.124
λ Away (xG) 1.521
Total xG 2.645
League avg home goals 1.325
League avg away goals 1.224
Grazer AK attack strength 0.912
Grazer AK defence strength 1.108
Wolfsberger AC attack strength 1.121
Wolfsberger AC defence strength 0.930
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 30 / 30