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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sun 15 Feb 2026

13:30

Venue

Merkur-Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Austria

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Red Bull Salzburg Win

31%

Grazer AK

3.28

25%

Draw

3.96

44%

Red Bull Salzburg

2.26

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.8%

Away win

1 – 2

9.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.22

Grazer AK xG

Total xG

2.74

1.52

Red Bull Salzburg xG

31%
25%
44%
Grazer AKDrawRed Bull Salzburg

3.28

31%

Home win

3.96

25%

Draw

2.26

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.82

45%

BTTS No

2.23

Clean Sheet

22%

Grazer AK

4.58

30%

Red Bull Salzburg

3.39

Win to Nil

7%

Grazer AK

15.00

13%

Red Bull Salzburg

7.66

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5 9.8 7.5 3.8 1.4 0.4
1 7.9 12.0 9.1 4.6 1.8 0.5
2 4.8 7.3 5.6 2.8 1.1 0.3
3 2.0 3.0 2.3 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.220
λ Away (xG) 1.521
Total xG 2.741
League avg home goals 1.298
League avg away goals 1.208
Grazer AK attack strength 1.058
Grazer AK defence strength 1.106
Red Bull Salzburg attack strength 1.139
Red Bull Salzburg defence strength 0.889
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 40 / 40