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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sun 3 Aug 2025

16:00

Venue

Merkur-Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Austria

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Austria Vienna Win

32%

Grazer AK

3.10

30%

Draw

3.30

37%

Austria Vienna

2.67

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.7%

Away win

0 – 1

8.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.39

Grazer AK xG

Total xG

2.90

1.51

Austria Vienna xG

32%
30%
37%
Grazer AKDrawAustria Vienna

3.10

32%

Home win

3.30

30%

Draw

2.67

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.63

39%

BTTS No

2.58

Clean Sheet

22%

Grazer AK

4.52

25%

Austria Vienna

4.03

Win to Nil

7%

Grazer AK

13.98

9%

Austria Vienna

10.76

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5 8.3 6.3 3.1 1.2 0.4
1 7.7 11.5 8.7 4.4 1.6 0.5
2 5.3 8.0 6.1 3.0 1.1 0.3
3 2.5 3.7 2.8 1.4 0.5 0.2
4 0.9 1.3 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.393
λ Away (xG) 1.508
Total xG 2.901
League avg home goals 1.582
League avg away goals 1.434
Grazer AK attack strength 0.950
Grazer AK defence strength 1.027
Austria Vienna attack strength 1.024
Austria Vienna defence strength 0.927
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 22 / 22