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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Championship Round - 7

Kick-off

Sun 4 May 2025

13:30

Venue

Hofmann Personal Stadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Austria

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC BW Linz Win

46%

FC BW Linz

2.15

28%

Draw

3.61

26%

Sturm Graz

3.88

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.3%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

1 – 0

7.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.83

FC BW Linz xG

Total xG

3.18

1.35

Sturm Graz xG

46%
28%
26%
FC BW LinzDrawSturm Graz

2.15

46%

Home win

3.61

28%

Draw

3.88

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

65%

BTTS Yes

1.55

35%

BTTS No

2.83

Clean Sheet

26%

FC BW Linz

3.85

16%

Sturm Graz

6.26

Win to Nil

12%

FC BW Linz

8.27

4%

Sturm Graz

24.27

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.2 5.6 3.8 1.7 0.6 0.2
1 7.6 10.3 6.9 3.1 1.0 0.3
2 7.0 9.4 6.3 2.8 1.0 0.3
3 4.3 5.8 3.9 1.7 0.6 0.2
4 2.0 2.6 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.834
λ Away (xG) 1.347
Total xG 3.181
League avg home goals 1.597
League avg away goals 1.200
FC BW Linz attack strength 1.095
FC BW Linz defence strength 1.053
Sturm Graz attack strength 1.066
Sturm Graz defence strength 1.049
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 44