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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sat 23 Aug 2025

16:00

Venue

Hofmann Personal Stadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Austria

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC BW Linz Win

49%

FC BW Linz

2.06

29%

Draw

3.49

23%

Ried

4.40

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

0 – 0

10.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.37

FC BW Linz xG

Total xG

2.22

0.85

Ried xG

49%
29%
23%
FC BW LinzDrawRied

2.06

49%

Home win

3.49

29%

Draw

4.40

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.31

57%

BTTS No

1.76

Clean Sheet

43%

FC BW Linz

2.34

25%

Ried

3.94

Win to Nil

21%

FC BW Linz

4.82

6%

Ried

17.33

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.8 9.2 3.9 1.1 0.2
1 14.9 12.6 5.4 1.5 0.3 0.1
2 10.2 8.7 3.7 1.0 0.2
3 4.7 4.0 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 1.6 1.4 0.6 0.2
5 0.4 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.372
λ Away (xG) 0.851
Total xG 2.223
League avg home goals 1.505
League avg away goals 1.219
FC BW Linz attack strength 0.847
FC BW Linz defence strength 0.973
Ried attack strength 0.718
Ried defence strength 1.077
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 25 / 3