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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Championship Round - 5

Kick-off

Wed 23 Apr 2025

19:30

Venue

Generali Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Austria

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Austria Vienna Win

50%

Austria Vienna

1.99

29%

Draw

3.42

21%

Sturm Graz

4.86

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.7%

Home win

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.72

Austria Vienna xG

Total xG

2.78

1.06

Sturm Graz xG

50%
29%
21%
Austria ViennaDrawSturm Graz

1.99

50%

Home win

3.42

29%

Draw

4.86

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.77

44%

BTTS No

2.29

Clean Sheet

35%

Austria Vienna

2.89

18%

Sturm Graz

5.60

Win to Nil

17%

Austria Vienna

5.75

4%

Sturm Graz

27.22

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.2 6.6 3.5 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 10.7 11.3 6.0 2.1 0.6 0.1
2 9.2 9.7 5.2 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 5.3 5.6 3.0 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 2.3 2.4 1.3 0.5 0.1
5 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.723
λ Away (xG) 1.060
Total xG 2.783
League avg home goals 1.597
League avg away goals 1.200
Austria Vienna attack strength 1.025
Austria Vienna defence strength 0.825
Sturm Graz attack strength 1.071
Sturm Graz defence strength 1.053
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 44