Plzen 2-0 Bohemians 1905 – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson rates Plzen at 50% — recent form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Plzen vs Bohemians 1905 encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Fixture Analysis
Plzen welcome Bohemians 1905 to Doosan Aréna in Czech Liga (matchday 15). Kick-off is Sunday 10 November 2024 at 14:30 UK time.
Form Analysis
Looking at their last 10 matches, Plzen stand at 6W 2D 2L — 2.00 PPG. Last five: D W W W L. Offensively they are averaging 1.80 goals per game, with 0.80 conceded. Defensively, conceding just 0.80 per game is an exceptional defensive record. 4 clean sheets in 10 games (40%) reflects a solid defensive base.
Plzen at home: 8W 2D 0L from their last 10 home games — 2.60 PPG on home soil. They are averaging 2.30 goals per home game — a prolific scoring rate in front of their own fans. 6 clean sheets from their last 10 home games (60%) — they are an exceptionally hard side to score against at home. Their home PPG of 2.60 is noticeably stronger than their overall 2.00 — Plzen are significantly better at home than their overall form suggests.
Across their last 10 games, Bohemians 1905 have recorded 3W 4D 3L — 1.30 PPG. Last five: L W D W D. Their scoring rate of 1.30 per game is modest, conceding 1.50 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings (20%). Both teams have scored in 70% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market.
Bohemians 1905 away from home: 4W 4D 2L from their last 10 away games — 1.60 PPG on the road. Away from home they average 1.30 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 70% of their away matches — a high BTTS rate on the road that directly informs this fixture.
Plzen are in the better shape of the two on recent form — 0.70 PPG ahead (2.00 vs 1.30). That form margin is the baseline of a sensible selection even before other signals are layered in.
H2H Record
There is little to separate the sides in our head-to-head data. From 6 H2H matches, Plzen have won 3, Bohemians 1905 2, with 1 draw — a balanced record that offers no clear steer on its own.
These two sides have produced goals at a healthy rate, averaging 2.8 per game across the 6 H2H matches we hold. That scoring profile supports the Over 2.5 angle. The most recent of those, on 17 Feb 2024, ended Plzen 2–0 Bohemians 1905 — a Plzen win.
With the win record balanced, the strongest H2H signal is in the goals market — at 2.8 goals per game, Over 2.5 is the cleaner angle from the head-to-head data.
In-Play Profile
Plzen in-play tendencies (last 48 games, 24 of them at home): at least one goal arrives before half-time in 62% of their matches in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 86% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 50% of those occasions; they lead at the break 46% of the time; of the 8 games they trailed at half-time, they recovered to draw or win 38%; BTTS occurs in 50% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 58% of games (home games).
Bohemians 1905 in-play tendencies (last 48 games, 24 of them away): at least one goal arrives before half-time in 71% of their matches in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 56% of the time; of the 15 games they trailed at half-time, they recovered to draw or win 47%; BTTS occurs in 62% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 54% of games (away games); they fail to score in 33% of games.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Plzen 54% versus Bohemians 1905 56%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Plzen 58% | Bohemians 1905 50%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Plzen 1.49 xG and Bohemians 1905 0.85 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Plzen attack 1.194 / defence 0.676 | Bohemians 1905 attack 1.090 / defence 0.869. League average goals — home 1.436 / away 1.155. Plzen have a tight defence (rating 0.676), which is pulling Bohemians 1905's projected output down. Data: built from Plzen's last 43 games and Bohemians 1905's last 43.
Result probabilities: Plzen 50% | Draw 32% | Bohemians 1905 19%. Fair-value odds: Plzen 2.02 | Draw 3.17 | Bohemians 1905 5.30. Plzen hold a narrow Poisson edge at 50% — the draw (32%) is close enough to merit draw-inclusive market consideration.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 41% | BTTS Yes probability 47% | Total xG 2.34. Under 2.5 has a narrow probability edge at 59% — total xG of 2.34 is below the line but not decisively so. BTTS No at 53% is only a slight lean — the model gives both sides a fair chance of scoring, so No isn't a clear standalone call.
Analysis Verdict
On the Poisson output, Plzen are the pick at 50% — moderate model lean. Recent form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. With a 32% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Plzen offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win.
Poisson projects 2.34 total expected goals, pointing to Under 2.5 at 59% probability — low conviction — though the H2H data averaging 2.8 goals per game across 6 H2H matches points the other way.
The Poisson model's BTTS call is No at 53%. Form rates are neutral — both teams scored in: Plzen 40% (last 10 home games) | Bohemians 1905 70% (last 10 away games).
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Plzen vs Bohemians 1905 | Competition: Czech Liga, matchday 15 | Venue: Doosan Aréna • Kick-off: Sunday 10 November 2024 at 14:30 UK time • Data inputs: head-to-head data, recent form (overall and home/away), the Poisson prediction model and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Plzen 50% | Draw 32% | Bohemians 1905 19% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 41% (Under 59%) | BTTS Yes 47% (No 53%) | xG Plzen 1.49 / Bohemians 1905 0.85 • Poisson strength factors: Plzen attack 1.194 / def 0.676 | Bohemians 1905 attack 1.090 / def 0.869 | league avg home 1.436 / away 1.155 • Poisson stance: Plzen (50%) — moderate lean
🧮 Prediction Model
1.49
Plzen xG
Expected Goals
0.85
Bohemians 1905 xG
47%
BTTS
70%
Over 1.5
41%
Over 2.5
21%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Plzen vs Bohemians 1905 FAQs
What time does Plzen vs Bohemians 1905 kick off?
Plzen vs Bohemians 1905 kicked off at 14:30 UK time on Sunday 10 November 2024 at Doosan Aréna.
What was the final score in Plzen vs Bohemians 1905?
Plzen 2 - 0 Bohemians 1905.
Where is Plzen vs Bohemians 1905 being played?
The match is being played at Doosan Aréna.
What competition is Plzen vs Bohemians 1905 part of?
Plzen vs Bohemians 1905 is a Czech Liga fixture (matchday 15) (Czech-Republic).
Who is favourite to win Plzen vs Bohemians 1905?
Our statistical model gives Plzen a 50% chance of winning, Bohemians 1905 a 19% chance, and a 32% chance of a draw — making Plzen the favourite.
Will both teams score in Plzen vs Bohemians 1905?
Our model estimates a 47% probability that both Plzen and Bohemians 1905 will score, so it leans towards BTTS No (53%).
Will Plzen vs Bohemians 1905 have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 41%, so it leans towards under 2.5 goals (59%).
🧮 Model Insight
How the Model Works This Match
Working from Plzen's attack rating (1.19) and Bohemians 1905's defence rating (0.87), the model arrives at 1.49 expected goals for the home side. The same calculation in reverse, Bohemians 1905's attack versus Plzen's defence, projects 0.85 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from Plzen's last 43 games and Bohemians 1905's last 43 — a full enough recent sample to trust.
The Exact-Score Picture
Run the expected-goals figures through the full scoreline distribution and 1-1 emerges as the single most likely result, at 13.8%. Close behind: 1-0 (12.8%), 0-0 (11.2%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 38% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Plzen Win
50%
2.02
32%
3.17
19%
5.30
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
14.3%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.2%
Draw
2 – 0
10.7%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.49
Plzen xG
Total xG
2.34
0.85
Bohemians 1905 xG
2.02
50%
Home win
3.17
32%
Draw
5.30
19%
Away win
Goals Markets
68%
Over 1.5
1.47
32%
Under 1.5
3.12
41%
Over 2.5
2.44
59%
Under 2.5
1.69
21%
Over 3.5
4.76
79%
Under 3.5
1.27
9%
Over 4.5
11.11
91%
Under 4.5
1.10
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
47%
BTTS Yes
2.13
53%
BTTS No
1.89
Clean Sheet
43%
2.34
23%
4.44
Win to Nil
21%
4.72
4%
23.53
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.6 | 8.2 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 14.3 | 12.2 | 5.2 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 10.7 | 9.1 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 5.3 | 4.5 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Plzen vs Bohemians 1905 Prediction FAQs
What is the most likely scoreline for Plzen vs Bohemians 1905?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 13.8%.
How many goals are Plzen and Bohemians 1905 expected to score?
The model projects 1.49 expected goals for Plzen and 0.85 for Bohemians 1905, a combined total of 2.34.
How confident is the prediction model for Plzen vs Bohemians 1905?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 50%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Form at a Glance
Plzen come into this having played 48 games, going 29W 10D 9L for 2.02 points per game. Their last five reads D-W-W-W-L.
On the other side, Bohemians 1905 sit at 1.17 PPG from 48 outings (13W 17D 18L), a run that reads L-W-D-W-D across their last five.
Plzen carry the stronger recent form of the two, 0.85 PPG clear of Bohemians 1905 — worth weighing alongside whatever the head-to-head and market data say.
Venue Form
Plzen's home form reads 17W 4D 3L across their last 24 home games, a 2.29 PPG return.
Away from home, Bohemians 1905 have taken 1.25 points per game from their last 24 away games (7W 9D 8L).
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Plzen come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
Goals in Recent Form
Plzen are averaging 2.04 goals scored and 1.02 conceded per game recently; Bohemians 1905 are on 1.02 scored and 1.35 conceded.
Last 48 Results
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Plzen
Blended
Bohemians 1905
Blended
Plzen (Home) vs Bohemians 1905 (Away)
Home games only for the home side · Away games only for the away side
Plzen
Blended
Bohemians 1905
Blended
❓ Plzen vs Bohemians 1905 Form FAQs
What form are Plzen and Bohemians 1905 in coming into this match?
Plzen have gone 29W 10D 9L in their last 48 games (2.02 PPG), while Bohemians 1905 have gone 13W 17D 18L in their last 48 (1.17 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Plzen at home or Bohemians 1905 away?
Plzen's home record (2.29 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Plzen at home: 2.29 PPG; Bohemians 1905 away: 1.25 PPG.
Have Plzen or Bohemians 1905 been keeping clean sheets recently?
Plzen have kept a clean sheet in 33% of their recent games, Bohemians 1905 in 25%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
Fixture History
This section is based on the 10 H2H matches we hold for this pairing, spanning roughly 4 years from November 2021. All of them came in Czech Liga. The most recent was on 15 March 2026, roughly 8 months ago.
Streaks & Records
There's a clear recent trend here: Plzen have taken the most recent 6 H2H results in our data.
The biggest gap in our H2H data came on 27 Nov 2021, when Plzen won Plzen 6-0 Bohemians 1905.
Plzen's record when hosting Bohemians 1905 specifically: 4W 0D 2L from 6 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 10 Meetings
7
Plzen
1
Draws
2
Bohemians 1905
Recent Meetings
❓ Plzen vs Bohemians 1905 H2H FAQs
What is the head-to-head record between Plzen and Bohemians 1905?
Across the 10 head-to-head matches in our data, Plzen have won 7, Bohemians 1905 have won 2, and 1 has been drawn.
When did Plzen and Bohemians 1905 last play each other?
The most recent meeting in our data was on 15 March 2026: Plzen 2-0 Bohemians 1905.
Who has won more matches between Plzen and Bohemians 1905?
Plzen have the better head-to-head record, with 7 wins from the 10 head-to-head matches in our data.
📈 Trading Insight
First-Half Patterns
Plzen are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 62% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 50% of the time. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 38% of those situations.
Bohemians 1905 are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 71% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 25% of the time, though they've let that lead slip 17% of the time they've held it — worth watching if they're only ahead by one. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 57% of those situations.
Full-Time Trends
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Plzen 50%, Bohemians 1905 62% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 58% (Plzen) and 54% (Bohemians 1905). Stepping up a level, Over 3.5 has also landed reasonably often — 38% and 25% respectively — worth a look for goal-hungry markets.
On the defensive side: Plzen keep a clean sheet in 46% of their matches.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Plzen home games / Bohemians 1905 away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Plzen vs Bohemians 1905 Trading FAQs
Do both teams usually score in Plzen and Bohemians 1905 matches?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 50% of Plzen's games and 62% of Bohemians 1905's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Are Plzen and Bohemians 1905 matches usually high-scoring?
Recent trends suggest it could be — Over 2.5 goals has landed in 58% of Plzen's matches and 54% of Bohemians 1905's.
Do Plzen and Bohemians 1905 matches tend to have early goals?
There has been at least one first-half goal in 62% of Plzen's recent matches and 71% of Bohemians 1905's — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Plzen cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Bohemians 1905.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Plzen beat Bohemians 1905 2-0 at Doosan Aréna, Regular Season - 15, in the Czech Liga. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Plzen 1.49 xG and Bohemians 1905 0.85 xG, a combined 2.34. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Bohemians 1905 landed 0.9 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Plzen attack 1.19 / defence 0.68 against Bohemians 1905 attack 1.09 / defence 0.87, drawn from 43/43 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Plzen 50% | Draw 32% | Bohemians 1905 19%, with Plzen to win its most likely call at 50%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 41%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 70% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 47% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 54% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Plzen 58%, Bohemians 1905 50%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 55%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Plzen's trading profile (48 games, 24 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 54% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 33% of the time, and duly kept one.
Bohemians 1905's trading profile (48 games, 24 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 56% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 33% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Form vs Result
On form, Plzen arrived the stronger side — 2.02 PPG against 1.17. Form held, and they took the win. Plzen (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 0.88 average — tighter than their form line. Bohemians 1905 (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.17 scoring average — below par going forward.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 4 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). A strong night for the model: the result sat comfortably inside what the pre-match data projected.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.