Khorfakkan 0-0 Al Wahda FC – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson rates Al Wahda FC at 51% — current form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Khorfakkan vs Al Wahda FC encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis & Preview
A Pro League encounter, Regular Season - 3 sees Al Wahda FC travel to Saqr bin Mohammad al Qassimi Stadium to take on Khorfakkan. The game is scheduled for Friday 10 September 2021, 15:45 UTC.
Form Guide
Khorfakkan — All Games: 0W 1D 1L from 2 Pro League outings this season, averaging 0.50 points per game. Last five: L D. They are averaging 1.00 goals per game and conceding 2.00 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. However, 2.00 goals conceded per game is a concern — opposing attacks have exploited them regularly. Both teams have scored in 100% of their matches — an extremely high rate that makes BTTS Yes a well-supported standalone angle from their form alone. Khorfakkan have played only a handful of Pro League games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
Looking at all fixtures this season, Al Wahda FC stand at 1W 1D 0L from 2 Pro League matches — 2.00 PPG. Last five: W D. Their attacking form is sharp — 2.50 goals per game is a high-output rate that commands respect in the goals markets. 1 clean sheet from 2 games (50%) is an exceptional defensive record — they are keeping clean sheets more often than not. Al Wahda FC have played only a handful of Pro League games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
Despite the home advantage, the form figures favour Al Wahda FC — 1.50 PPG ahead of the hosts (2.00 vs 0.50). That gap is large enough to take seriously. Draw No Bet on the visitors neutralises home-ground risk while maintaining the form-backed selection.
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Khorfakkan 0.88 xG and Al Wahda FC 1.49 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Khorfakkan attack 0.973 / defence 1.419 | Al Wahda FC attack 1.235 / defence 1.028. League average goals — home 0.884 / away 0.848. Al Wahda FC have an above-average attack strength of 1.235 — the away xG of 1.49 is driven by genuine attacking quality on the road. Data: 2 Khorfakkan games / 2 Al Wahda FC games used (Blended). A blend of current and prior-season data is applied to stabilise estimates early in the campaign.
Result probabilities: Khorfakkan 22% | Draw 26% | Al Wahda FC 51%. Fair-value odds: Khorfakkan 4.55 | Draw 3.85 | Al Wahda FC 1.96. Al Wahda FC hold a narrow Poisson edge at 51% — the draw (26%) is close enough to merit draw-inclusive market consideration.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 42% | BTTS probability 45% | Total xG 2.37. Under 2.5 has a narrow probability edge at 58% — total xG of 2.37 is below the line but not decisively so. BTTS probability of 45% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Analysis Verdict
On the Poisson output, Al Wahda FC are the pick at 51% — moderate model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. With a 26% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Al Wahda FC offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win.
Poisson projects 2.37 total expected goals, pointing to Under 2.5 at 42% probability — Poisson-only — limited corroboration conviction — though form averaging only 3.0 goals per game points in the other direction.
The Poisson model is drawing on Blended data (2 games minimum) — early-season projections carry additional uncertainty. Weight the live form and odds signals accordingly.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Khorfakkan vs Al Wahda FC | Competition: Pro League, Regular Season - 3 | Venue: Saqr bin Mohammad al Qassimi Stadium • Kick-off: Friday 10 Sep 2021, 15:45 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Khorfakkan 22% | Draw 26% | Al Wahda FC 51% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 42% | BTTS 45% | xG Khorfakkan 0.88 / Al Wahda FC 1.49 • Poisson strength factors: Khorfakkan attack 0.973 / def 1.419 | Al Wahda FC attack 1.235 / def 1.028 | league avg home 0.884 / away 0.848 • Poisson stance: Al Wahda FC (51%) — moderate lean
🧮 Prediction Model
0.88
Khorfakkan xG
Expected Goals
1.49
Al Wahda FC xG
45%
BTTS
68%
Over 1.5
42%
Over 2.5
22%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Khorfakkan vs Al Wahda FC kick off?
Khorfakkan vs Al Wahda FC kicked off at 15:45 on Friday 10 September 2021 at Saqr bin Mohammad al Qassimi Stadium.
What was the final score in Khorfakkan vs Al Wahda FC?
Khorfakkan 0 - 0 Al Wahda FC.
Where is Khorfakkan vs Al Wahda FC being played?
The match is being played at Saqr bin Mohammad al Qassimi Stadium.
What competition is Khorfakkan vs Al Wahda FC part of?
Khorfakkan vs Al Wahda FC is a Regular Season - 3 fixture in the Pro League (United-Arab-Emirates).
Who is favourite to win Khorfakkan vs Al Wahda FC?
Our statistical model gives Khorfakkan a 22% chance of winning, Al Wahda FC a 51% chance, and a 26% chance of a draw — making Al Wahda FC the favourite.
Will both teams score in Khorfakkan vs Al Wahda FC?
Our model estimates a 45% probability that both Khorfakkan and Al Wahda FC will score (BTTS).
Will Khorfakkan vs Al Wahda FC have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 42%.
What is the head-to-head record between Khorfakkan and Al Wahda FC?
No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset.
What form are Khorfakkan and Al Wahda FC in?
Khorfakkan (all comps): 0W-1D-1L in 2 | 0.50 PPG | GF 1.00 / GA 2.00 | L5 L-D. Al Wahda FC (all comps): 1W-1D-0L in 2 | 2.00 PPG | GF 2.50 / GA 0.50 | L5 W-D.
🧮 Model Insight
How the Model Works This Match
Working from Khorfakkan's attack rating (0.97) and Al Wahda FC's defence rating (1.03), the model arrives at 0.88 expected goals for the home side. The same calculation in reverse, Al Wahda FC's attack versus Khorfakkan's defence, projects 1.49 expected goals for the visitors.
The sample (2/2 games) mixes this season and last, since the current campaign is still relatively young.
The Exact-Score Picture
Run the expected-goals figures through the full scoreline distribution and 1-1 emerges as the single most likely result, at 13.9%. Close behind: 0-1 (12.3%), 0-0 (10.9%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 37% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Al Wahda FC Win
22%
4.46
26%
3.80
51%
1.95
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
13.9%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.3%
Draw
0 – 2
10.3%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.88
Khorfakkan xG
Total xG
2.37
1.49
Al Wahda FC xG
4.46
22%
Home win
3.80
26%
Draw
1.95
51%
Away win
Goals Markets
68%
Over 1.5
1.47
32%
Under 1.5
3.12
42%
Over 2.5
2.38
58%
Under 2.5
1.72
22%
Over 3.5
4.55
78%
Under 3.5
1.28
9%
Over 4.5
11.11
91%
Under 4.5
1.10
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
45%
BTTS Yes
2.20
55%
BTTS No
1.83
Clean Sheet
23%
4.42
41%
2.42
Win to Nil
5%
19.71
21%
4.72
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.3 | 13.9 | 10.3 | 5.1 | 1.9 | 0.6 |
| 1 | 8.3 | 12.3 | 9.1 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 0.5 |
| 2 | 3.7 | 5.4 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | – | 0.1 | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Khorfakkan vs Al Wahda FC?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 13.9%.
How many goals are Khorfakkan and Al Wahda FC expected to score?
The model projects 0.88 expected goals for Khorfakkan and 1.49 for Al Wahda FC, a combined total of 2.37.
How confident is the prediction model for Khorfakkan vs Al Wahda FC?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 51%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Form at a Glance
Khorfakkan come into this having played 2 games, going 0W 1D 1L for 0.50 points per game. Their last five reads L-D. It's still early in the season for Khorfakkan, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
On the other side, Al Wahda FC sit at 2.00 PPG from 2 outings (1W 1D 0L), a run that reads W-D across their last five. It's still early in the season for Al Wahda FC, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
Al Wahda FC carry the stronger recent form of the two, 1.50 PPG clear of Khorfakkan — worth weighing alongside whatever the head-to-head and market data say.
Goals in Recent Form
Khorfakkan are averaging 1.00 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game recently; Al Wahda FC are on 2.50 scored and 0.50 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Khorfakkan have seen both teams score in 100% of their recent games.
Defensively: Al Wahda FC in 50% — worth knowing if you're weighing up clean-sheet or BTTS-No markets.
Last 2 Results — Pro League
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Khorfakkan
Early Season
Al Wahda FC
Early Season
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Khorfakkan and Al Wahda FC in coming into this match?
Khorfakkan have gone 0W 1D 1L in their last 2 games (0.50 PPG), while Al Wahda FC have gone 1W 1D 0L in their last 2 (2.00 PPG).
Have Khorfakkan or Al Wahda FC been keeping clean sheets recently?
Khorfakkan have kept a clean sheet in 0% of their recent games, Al Wahda FC in 50%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
Fixture History
10 meetings separate these sides on the data we hold, the series stretching back to September 2021. Every recorded meeting has come in Pro League. They last met on 11 May 2026, roughly 3 months ago.
Streaks & Records
Khorfakkan's record when hosting Al Wahda FC specifically: 1W 2D 2L from 5 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 10 Meetings
1
Khorfakkan
4
Draws
5
Al Wahda FC
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Khorfakkan and Al Wahda FC?
From 10 meetings on record, Khorfakkan have won 1, Al Wahda FC have won 5, and 4 have been drawn.
When did Khorfakkan and Al Wahda FC last play each other?
They last met on 11 May 2026, when Khorfakkan 1-1 Al Wahda FC.
Who has won more matches between Khorfakkan and Al Wahda FC?
Al Wahda FC have the better head-to-head record, with 5 wins from 10 meetings.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Khorfakkan home games / Al Wahda FC away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Khorfakkan play Al Wahda FC?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 100% of Khorfakkan's games and 50% of Al Wahda FC's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is Khorfakkan vs Al Wahda FC usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 50% of Khorfakkan's recent games and 50% of Al Wahda FC's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Khorfakkan and Al Wahda FC tend to score early?
Khorfakkan have had a goal before half-time in 100% of their recent matches, Al Wahda FC in 50% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Khorfakkan's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Khorfakkan and Al Wahda FC finished level at 0-0 at Saqr bin Mohammad al Qassimi Stadium, Regular Season - 3, in the Pro League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Khorfakkan 0.88 xG and Al Wahda FC 1.49 xG, a combined 2.37. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Khorfakkan fell 0.9 short of their projected output. Al Wahda FC landed 1.5 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Khorfakkan attack 0.97 / defence 1.42 against Al Wahda FC attack 1.24 / defence 1.03, drawn from 2/2 games (Blended).
On the result, the model split it Khorfakkan 22% | Draw 26% | Al Wahda FC 51%, with Al Wahda FC to win its most likely call at 51%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 26%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 42%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 68% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 45% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 50% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Khorfakkan 50%, Al Wahda FC 50%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 75%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Form vs Result
On form, Al Wahda FC arrived the stronger side — 2.00 PPG against 0.50. The form guide was only half-right: the stronger side did not lose, but could not convert the edge into a win. Khorfakkan managed 0 against a 1.00 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 2.00 average — tighter than their form line. Al Wahda FC managed 0 against a 2.50 scoring average — below par going forward.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (miss). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.