Obolon'-Brovar 0-0 Veres Rivne – Result & Analysis
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Poisson model rates Obolon'-Brovar at 35% — neither recent form nor the head-to-head data gives a clear steer either way as Obolon'-Brovar face Veres Rivne.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis & Preview
Veres Rivne travel to Obolon Arena to take on Obolon'-Brovar in Premier League (matchday 8). The game is scheduled for Friday 22 September 2023 at 16:00 UK time.
Recent Form
Across their last 7 games, Obolon'-Brovar have gone 1W 2D 4L — a 0.71 PPG return. Last five: L W D L L. They are averaging 0.57 goals per game and conceding 1.43 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 2 clean sheets from 7 outings (29%). Both teams have scored in just 29% of their matches, indicating a tendency toward clean sheets or low-scoring outcomes.
Obolon'-Brovar at home: 0W 2D 1L from their last 3 home games — 0.67 PPG on home soil. At home they are averaging 0.67 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. 2 clean sheets from their last 3 home games (67%) — they are an exceptionally hard side to score against at home.
Veres Rivne — last 10 games: 3W 1D 6L — 1.00 PPG. Last five: D L L W L. Their scoring rate of 1.30 per game is modest, conceding 1.50 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 1 clean sheet from 10 outings (10%).
Veres Rivne's form when playing away from home: 0W 2D 8L across their last 10 road games (0.20 PPG). Away from home they average 0.90 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. Their away PPG of 0.20 is notably below their overall 1.00 — form away from home has been a clear weakness recently.
The form comparison is too close to call — 0.71 PPG (Obolon'-Brovar) versus 1.00 (Veres Rivne). When the figures are this level, no pick can be reliably derived from recent results alone.
In-Play Data
Obolon'-Brovar trading profile (last 7 games): at least one goal arrives before half-time in 43% of their matches; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 50% of the time; BTTS occurs in 29% of their matches; Over 2.5 goals lands in 29% of games; they fail to score in 71% of games.
Veres Rivne trading profile (last 7 games): at least one goal arrives before half-time in 100% of their matches; of the 4 games they trailed at half-time, they recovered to draw or win 25%; BTTS occurs in 71% of their matches; Over 2.5 goals lands in 57% of games.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Obolon'-Brovar 29% versus Veres Rivne 71%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Obolon'-Brovar 29% | Veres Rivne 57%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Obolon'-Brovar 1.11 xG and Veres Rivne 1.10 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Obolon'-Brovar attack 0.777 / defence 1.095 | Veres Rivne attack 0.888 / defence 1.219. League average goals — home 1.174 / away 1.132. Obolon'-Brovar's attack rating of 0.777 is below the league average, which holds their xG down at 1.11. Veres Rivne's defence rating of 1.219 (above 1 = concedes more than average) is pushing Obolon'-Brovar's projected output up. Data: built from Obolon'-Brovar's last 7 games and Veres Rivne's last 36.
Result probabilities: Obolon'-Brovar 35% | Draw 30% | Veres Rivne 35%. Fair-value odds: Obolon'-Brovar 2.84 | Draw 3.31 | Veres Rivne 2.89. The model can't separate the sides — both are rated at 35% to win, with the draw at 30%. There is no result lean here.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 38% | BTTS Yes probability 45% | Total xG 2.21. Under 2.5 has a narrow probability edge at 62% — total xG of 2.21 is below the line but not decisively so. BTTS No at 55% is only a slight lean — the model gives both sides a fair chance of scoring, so No isn't a clear standalone call.
Our Verdict
The Poisson model can't separate the sides — Obolon'-Brovar 35% and Veres Rivne 35%, with the draw at 30%. There is no result lean from the model; the goals and BTTS markets below are where it has a view.
On the goals line, Poisson's 2.21 combined xG gives a 62% probability to Under 2.5 — a Poisson-only call with no corroboration from form or H2H.
Poisson assigns a 55% probability to BTTS No based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates corroborate — both teams scored in: Obolon'-Brovar 33% (last 3 home games) | Veres Rivne 40% (last 10 away games).
🔮 Your Prediction
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Obolon'-Brovar vs Veres Rivne | Competition: Premier League, matchday 8 | Venue: Obolon Arena • Kick-off: Friday 22 September 2023 at 16:00 UK time • Data inputs: head-to-head data, recent form (overall and home/away), the Poisson prediction model and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Obolon'-Brovar 35% | Draw 30% | Veres Rivne 35% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 38% (Under 62%) | BTTS Yes 45% (No 55%) | xG Obolon'-Brovar 1.11 / Veres Rivne 1.10 • Poisson strength factors: Obolon'-Brovar attack 0.777 / def 1.095 | Veres Rivne attack 0.888 / def 1.219 | league avg home 1.174 / away 1.132 • Poisson stance: no clear lean — Obolon'-Brovar and Veres Rivne level at 35% — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.11
Obolon'-Brovar xG
Expected Goals
1.10
Veres Rivne xG
45%
BTTS
65%
Over 1.5
38%
Over 2.5
18%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Obolon'-Brovar vs Veres Rivne FAQs
What time does Obolon'-Brovar vs Veres Rivne kick off?
Obolon'-Brovar vs Veres Rivne kicked off at 16:00 UK time on Friday 22 September 2023 at Obolon Arena.
What was the final score in Obolon'-Brovar vs Veres Rivne?
Obolon'-Brovar 0 - 0 Veres Rivne.
Where is Obolon'-Brovar vs Veres Rivne being played?
The match is being played at Obolon Arena.
What competition is Obolon'-Brovar vs Veres Rivne part of?
Obolon'-Brovar vs Veres Rivne is a Premier League fixture (matchday 8) (Ukraine).
Who is favourite to win Obolon'-Brovar vs Veres Rivne?
Our statistical model gives Obolon'-Brovar a 35% chance of winning, Veres Rivne a 35% chance, and a 30% chance of a draw, making this a very evenly-matched fixture.
Will both teams score in Obolon'-Brovar vs Veres Rivne?
Our model estimates a 45% probability that both Obolon'-Brovar and Veres Rivne will score, so it leans towards BTTS No (55%).
Will Obolon'-Brovar vs Veres Rivne have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 38%, so it leans towards under 2.5 goals (62%).
🧮 Model Insight
How the Model Works This Match
Working from Obolon'-Brovar's attack rating (0.78) and Veres Rivne's defence rating (1.22), the model arrives at 1.11 expected goals for the home side. The same calculation in reverse, Veres Rivne's attack versus Obolon'-Brovar's defence, projects 1.10 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from Obolon'-Brovar's last 7 games and Veres Rivne's last 36 — a full enough recent sample to trust.
The Exact-Score Picture
Run the expected-goals figures through the full scoreline distribution and 1-1 emerges as the single most likely result, at 15.1%. Close behind: 0-0 (12.7%), 1-0 (10.4%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 38% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Obolon'-Brovar Win
35%
2.84
30%
3.31
35%
2.89
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
13.4%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
12.2%
Home win
0 – 1
12.0%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.11
Obolon'-Brovar xG
Total xG
2.21
1.10
Veres Rivne xG
2.84
35%
Home win
3.31
30%
Draw
2.89
35%
Away win
Goals Markets
65%
Over 1.5
1.54
35%
Under 1.5
2.86
38%
Over 2.5
2.63
62%
Under 2.5
1.61
18%
Over 3.5
5.56
82%
Under 3.5
1.22
7%
Over 4.5
14.29
93%
Under 4.5
1.08
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
45%
BTTS Yes
2.20
55%
BTTS No
1.83
Clean Sheet
33%
3.01
33%
3.04
Win to Nil
12%
8.56
11%
8.78
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.9 | 12.0 | 6.6 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 12.2 | 13.4 | 7.4 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 6.8 | 7.4 | 4.1 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Obolon'-Brovar vs Veres Rivne Prediction FAQs
What is the most likely scoreline for Obolon'-Brovar vs Veres Rivne?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 15.1%.
How many goals are Obolon'-Brovar and Veres Rivne expected to score?
The model projects 1.11 expected goals for Obolon'-Brovar and 1.10 for Veres Rivne, a combined total of 2.21.
How confident is the prediction model for Obolon'-Brovar vs Veres Rivne?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 35%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Form at a Glance
Obolon'-Brovar come into this having played 7 games, going 1W 2D 4L for 0.71 points per game. Their last five reads L-W-D-L-L.
On the other side, Veres Rivne sit at 1.00 PPG from 7 outings (2W 1D 4L), a run that reads D-L-L-W-L across their last five.
Form-wise this is close to level: Obolon'-Brovar on 0.71 PPG, Veres Rivne on 1.00. Other factors will likely decide this one more than recent results.
Goals in Recent Form
Obolon'-Brovar are averaging 0.57 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per game recently; Veres Rivne are on 1.71 scored and 1.57 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Obolon'-Brovar have seen both teams score in 29% of their recent games; Veres Rivne in 71%.
Last 7 Results
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Obolon'-Brovar
Early Season
Veres Rivne
Early Season
Obolon'-Brovar (Home) vs Veres Rivne (Away)
Home games only for the home side · Away games only for the away side
Obolon'-Brovar
Early Season
Veres Rivne
Early Season
❓ Obolon'-Brovar vs Veres Rivne Form FAQs
What form are Obolon'-Brovar and Veres Rivne in coming into this match?
Obolon'-Brovar have gone 1W 2D 4L in their last 7 games (0.71 PPG), while Veres Rivne have gone 2W 1D 4L in their last 7 (1.00 PPG).
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
Fixture History
This section is based on the 7 H2H matches we hold for this pairing, spanning roughly 3 years from September 2023. All of them came in Premier League. The most recent was as recently as 16 October 2026, so it is a fresh reference point.
Streaks & Records
The biggest gap in our H2H data came on 6 Apr 2024, when Veres Rivne won Veres Rivne 3-0 Obolon'-Brovar.
Obolon'-Brovar's record when hosting Veres Rivne specifically: 1W 3D 0L from 4 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 7 Meetings
2
Obolon'-Brovar
3
Draws
2
Veres Rivne
Recent Meetings
❓ Obolon'-Brovar vs Veres Rivne H2H FAQs
What is the head-to-head record between Obolon'-Brovar and Veres Rivne?
Across the 7 head-to-head matches in our data, Obolon'-Brovar have won 2, Veres Rivne have won 2, and 3 have been drawn.
When did Obolon'-Brovar and Veres Rivne last play each other?
The most recent meeting in our data was on 16 October 2026: Obolon'-Brovar 2-0 Veres Rivne.
📈 Trading Insight
First-Half Patterns
Obolon'-Brovar see a goal before the break in 43% of their matches. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 33% of those situations.
Veres Rivne are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 100% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 29% of the time. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 25% of those situations.
Full-Time Trends
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Obolon'-Brovar 29%, Veres Rivne 71% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 29% (Obolon'-Brovar) and 57% (Veres Rivne).
On the defensive side: Obolon'-Brovar have failed to score in 71% of games; Veres Rivne in 29%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Obolon'-Brovar home games / Veres Rivne away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Obolon'-Brovar vs Veres Rivne Trading FAQs
Do both teams usually score in Obolon'-Brovar and Veres Rivne matches?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 29% of Obolon'-Brovar's recent matches and 71% of Veres Rivne's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Are Obolon'-Brovar and Veres Rivne matches usually high-scoring?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 29% of Obolon'-Brovar's recent games and 57% of Veres Rivne's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Obolon'-Brovar and Veres Rivne matches tend to have early goals?
There has been at least one first-half goal in 43% of Obolon'-Brovar's recent matches and 100% of Veres Rivne's — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Obolon'-Brovar's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Obolon'-Brovar and Veres Rivne finished level at 0-0 at Obolon Arena, Regular Season - 8, in the Premier League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Obolon'-Brovar 1.11 xG and Veres Rivne 1.10 xG, a combined 2.21. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Obolon'-Brovar fell 1.1 short of their projected output. Veres Rivne landed 1.1 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Obolon'-Brovar attack 0.78 / defence 1.09 against Veres Rivne attack 0.89 / defence 1.22, drawn from 7/36 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Obolon'-Brovar 35% | Draw 30% | Veres Rivne 35%, with Obolon'-Brovar to win its most likely call at 35%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 30%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 38%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 65% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 45% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 43% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Obolon'-Brovar 29%, Veres Rivne 57%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 50%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Obolon'-Brovar's trading profile (7 games) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 29% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 71% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Veres Rivne's trading profile (7 games) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 71% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 29% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — Obolon'-Brovar 0.71 PPG, Veres Rivne 1.00 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. Obolon'-Brovar conceded 0 against a 1.43 average — tighter than their form line. Veres Rivne managed 0 against a 1.71 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.57 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.