Jeonbuk Motors 0-0 Daejeon Citizen – Result & Analysis
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Poisson rates Daejeon Citizen at 36% — current form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Jeonbuk Motors vs Daejeon Citizen encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Pre-Match Analysis
Jeonbuk Motors and Daejeon Citizen meet at Jeonju World Cup Stadium in K League 1, Championship Group - 34. This fixture gets under way on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 05:00 UTC.
Form & Momentum
Jeonbuk Motors have collected 1.40 PPG across 10 K League 1 outings this season: 3W 5D 2L. Last five: L D L W D. They are averaging 1.30 goals per game and conceding 1.10 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. Both teams have scored in 70% of their games — a high BTTS rate that carries real weight in the goals markets.
At home at Jeonju World Cup Stadium, Jeonbuk Motors have gone 4W 3D 3L this season (10 games, 1.50 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.20 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 5 clean sheets from 10 home games (50%) — they are an exceptionally hard side to score against at Jeonju World Cup Stadium.
Daejeon Citizen (all games): 7W 2D 1L across 10 K League 1 outings this term — 2.30 points per game. Last five: D D W W W. Their attacking form is sharp — 2.40 goals per game is a high-output rate that commands respect in the goals markets. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Both teams have scored in 80% of their matches this season — one of the stronger BTTS rates in the division, making Yes a well-evidenced play.
Daejeon Citizen's away record: 3W 3D 4L from 10 road trips in K League 1 this season (1.20 PPG). Away from home they average 1.50 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 60% of their away games — meaningful support for the Yes angle in this specific context. Their away PPG of 1.20 is notably below their overall 2.30 — form away from home has been a clear weakness this season.
On a straight form reading, Daejeon Citizen are the stronger side — 0.90 PPG clear of the hosts (2.30 vs 1.40). Backing them with draw insurance is the conservative play if the outright away price appears short.
Head-to-Head
Neither side has dominated this fixture. The last 9 head-to-head meetings have produced 4 wins for Jeonbuk Motors, 2 for Daejeon Citizen and 3 draws — an even split that leaves the H2H largely neutral as a betting input.
Historically, goals have been at a premium in this fixture — just 1.7 per game from 9 meetings. The Under 2.5 has a clear base rate from the H2H record alone. The most recent clash, on 9 Oct 2026, ended 1–2 with Daejeon Citizen winning.
With a balanced win record and just 1.7 goals per game historically, the H2H points toward a tight, low-scoring contest. Under 2.5 goals has the strongest statistical grounding from the fixture history regardless of which side wins.
Trading & In-Play
Jeonbuk Motors — key trading statistics (71 games, 35 at home): they score before half-time in 71% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 69% of the time; BTTS occurs in 63% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 60% of games (home games).
Daejeon Citizen — key trading statistics (71 games, 35 at away): they score before half-time in 63% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 80% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 67% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 60% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 63% of games (away games); Over 3.5 in 35%.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Jeonbuk Motors 55% versus Daejeon Citizen 59%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Jeonbuk Motors 45% | Daejeon Citizen 55%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Jeonbuk Motors 1.48 xG and Daejeon Citizen 1.51 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Jeonbuk Motors attack 1.104 / defence 0.933 | Daejeon Citizen attack 1.223 / defence 1.053. League average goals — home 1.269 / away 1.328. Daejeon Citizen have an above-average attack strength of 1.223 — the away xG of 1.51 is driven by genuine attacking quality on the road. Data: 66 Jeonbuk Motors games / 66 Daejeon Citizen games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Jeonbuk Motors 34% | Draw 30% | Daejeon Citizen 36%. Fair-value odds: Jeonbuk Motors 2.94 | Draw 3.33 | Daejeon Citizen 2.78. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 30% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 57% | BTTS probability 63% | Total xG 2.99. Over 2.5 holds a meaningful probability edge at 57% — the 2.99 total xG provides moderate support, though the model is not projecting a high-scoring game. BTTS Yes at 63% reflects that both xG figures (1.48 / 1.51) are above the threshold where scoring blanks become the primary outcome — both sides are projected to find the net.
Picks & Verdict
Jeonbuk Motors dominate the H2H record, yet Daejeon Citizen are the in-form side right now — historical edge versus current momentum creates a genuine dilemma.
On the Poisson output, Daejeon Citizen are the pick at 36% — marginal model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. Draw probability of 30% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on Daejeon Citizen if the outright odds are short. The opposing side holds a 34% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
On the goals line, Poisson's 2.99 combined xG gives a 57% probability to Over 2.5 — Poisson-only — limited corroboration — though H2H averaging only 1.7 goals per meeting points in the other direction.
The Poisson model's BTTS call is Yes at 63%. Form rates corroborate: Jeonbuk Motors 50% | Daejeon Citizen 60% BTTS from recent games.
The outsider holds a 34% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should not be treated as one. Proportionate stakes are appropriate given the genuine contest the data projects.
🔮 Your Prediction
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Jeonbuk Motors vs Daejeon Citizen | Competition: K League 1, Championship Group - 34 | Venue: Jeonju World Cup Stadium • Kick-off: Saturday 31 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Jeonbuk Motors 34% | Draw 30% | Daejeon Citizen 36% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 57% | BTTS 63% | xG Jeonbuk Motors 1.48 / Daejeon Citizen 1.51 • Poisson strength factors: Jeonbuk Motors attack 1.104 / def 0.933 | Daejeon Citizen attack 1.223 / def 1.053 | league avg home 1.269 / away 1.328 • Poisson stance: Daejeon Citizen (36%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.48
Jeonbuk Motors xG
Expected Goals
1.51
Daejeon Citizen xG
63%
BTTS
83%
Over 1.5
57%
Over 2.5
35%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Jeonbuk Motors vs Daejeon Citizen kick off?
Jeonbuk Motors vs Daejeon Citizen kicked off at 05:00 on Saturday 31 October 2026 at Jeonju World Cup Stadium.
What was the final score in Jeonbuk Motors vs Daejeon Citizen?
Jeonbuk Motors 0 - 0 Daejeon Citizen.
Where is Jeonbuk Motors vs Daejeon Citizen being played?
The match is being played at Jeonju World Cup Stadium.
What competition is Jeonbuk Motors vs Daejeon Citizen part of?
Jeonbuk Motors vs Daejeon Citizen is a Championship Group - 34 fixture in the K League 1 (South-Korea).
Who is favourite to win Jeonbuk Motors vs Daejeon Citizen?
Our statistical model gives Jeonbuk Motors a 34% chance of winning, Daejeon Citizen a 36% chance, and a 30% chance of a draw — making Daejeon Citizen the favourite.
Will both teams score in Jeonbuk Motors vs Daejeon Citizen?
Our model estimates a 63% probability that both Jeonbuk Motors and Daejeon Citizen will score (BTTS).
Will Jeonbuk Motors vs Daejeon Citizen have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 57%.
What is the head-to-head record between Jeonbuk Motors and Daejeon Citizen?
Record (9 meetings): Jeonbuk Motors 4W | Draws 3 | Daejeon Citizen 2W.
What form are Jeonbuk Motors and Daejeon Citizen in?
Jeonbuk Motors (all comps): 3W-5D-2L in 10 | 1.40 PPG | GF 1.30 / GA 1.10 | L5 L-D-L-W-D. Daejeon Citizen (all comps): 7W-2D-1L in 10 | 2.30 PPG | GF 2.40 / GA 1.30 | L5 D-D-W-W-W.
🧮 Model Insight
Where the Numbers Come From
The model rates Jeonbuk Motors's attack at 1.10x the league average against Daejeon Citizen's defence at 1.05x — combine the two and it projects 1.48 expected goals for the hosts. Flip it around — Daejeon Citizen's attack (1.22x) against Jeonbuk Motors's defence (0.93x) — and the away total comes out at 1.51.
These ratings are built from 66/66 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 1-1 carries the highest individual probability at 12.7% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 1-2 (8.5%), 2-1 (8.3%). Together the top three scorelines make up 30% of the probability — a moderately spread distribution, typical of a competitive match-up.
Most Likely Outcome
Daejeon Citizen Win
34%
2.92
30%
3.36
36%
2.78
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
11.2%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 2
8.5%
Away win
2 – 1
8.3%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.48
Jeonbuk Motors xG
Total xG
2.99
1.51
Daejeon Citizen xG
2.92
34%
Home win
3.36
30%
Draw
2.78
36%
Away win
Goals Markets
80%
Over 1.5
1.25
20%
Under 1.5
5.00
57%
Over 2.5
1.75
43%
Under 2.5
2.33
35%
Over 3.5
2.86
65%
Under 3.5
1.54
18%
Over 4.5
5.56
82%
Under 4.5
1.22
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
63%
BTTS Yes
1.59
37%
BTTS No
2.69
Clean Sheet
22%
4.54
23%
4.37
Win to Nil
8%
13.27
8%
12.14
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.0 | 7.6 | 5.8 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 7.4 | 11.2 | 8.5 | 4.3 | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| 2 | 5.5 | 8.3 | 6.3 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 2.7 | 4.1 | 3.1 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Jeonbuk Motors vs Daejeon Citizen?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 12.7%.
How many goals are Jeonbuk Motors and Daejeon Citizen expected to score?
The model projects 1.48 expected goals for Jeonbuk Motors and 1.51 for Daejeon Citizen, a combined total of 2.99.
How confident is the prediction model for Jeonbuk Motors vs Daejeon Citizen?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 36%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Recent Form Overview
Jeonbuk Motors come into this having played 71 games, going 35W 22D 14L for 1.79 points per game. Their last five reads L-D-L-W-D.
On the other side, Daejeon Citizen sit at 1.61 PPG from 71 outings (31W 21D 19L), a run that reads D-D-W-W-W across their last five.
There isn't much between them on recent form — 1.79 PPG for Jeonbuk Motors against 1.61 for Daejeon Citizen. Neither side arrives with a clear form advantage.
How They Fare by Venue
Jeonbuk Motors's home form reads 19W 8D 8L across 35 games on their own ground, a 1.86 PPG return.
Away from home, Daejeon Citizen have taken 1.57 points per game from 35 outings (15W 10D 10L).
Attack vs Defence
Jeonbuk Motors are averaging 1.51 goals scored and 0.92 conceded per game recently; Daejeon Citizen are on 1.56 scored and 1.23 conceded.
Defensively: Jeonbuk Motors have kept a clean sheet in 39% of their games — worth knowing if you're weighing up clean-sheet or BTTS-No markets.
Last 71 Results — K League 1
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Jeonbuk Motors
Current Season
Daejeon Citizen
Current Season
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Jeonbuk Motors and Daejeon Citizen in coming into this match?
Jeonbuk Motors have gone 35W 22D 14L in their last 71 games (1.79 PPG), while Daejeon Citizen have gone 31W 21D 19L in their last 71 (1.61 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Jeonbuk Motors at home or Daejeon Citizen away?
Jeonbuk Motors's home record (1.86 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Jeonbuk Motors at home: 1.86 PPG; Daejeon Citizen away: 1.57 PPG.
Have Jeonbuk Motors or Daejeon Citizen been keeping clean sheets recently?
Jeonbuk Motors have kept a clean sheet in 39% of their recent games, Daejeon Citizen in 24%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
The Rivalry So Far
These sides have met 10 times that we have on record, stretching back to September 2024 — a rivalry that has played out across roughly 2 years. Every recorded meeting has come in K League 1. The two were last together as recently as 31 October 2026, so this form is fresh in the memory.
Notable Numbers
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, Jeonbuk Motors have gone 2W 3D 1L from 6 meetings on their own ground against Daejeon Citizen — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 10 Meetings
4
Jeonbuk Motors
4
Draws
2
Daejeon Citizen
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Jeonbuk Motors and Daejeon Citizen?
From 10 meetings on record, Jeonbuk Motors have won 4, Daejeon Citizen have won 2, and 4 have been drawn.
When did Jeonbuk Motors and Daejeon Citizen last play each other?
They last met on 31 October 2026, when Jeonbuk Motors 0-0 Daejeon Citizen.
Who has won more matches between Jeonbuk Motors and Daejeon Citizen?
Jeonbuk Motors have the better head-to-head record, with 4 wins from 10 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
Early Goal Trends
Jeonbuk Motors are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 71% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 31% of the time.
Daejeon Citizen are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 63% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 34% of the time.
Full-Time Markets
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Jeonbuk Motors 63%, Daejeon Citizen 60% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Goals have flowed in these teams' recent matches — Over 2.5 has landed at 60% for Jeonbuk Motors and 63% for Daejeon Citizen. Stepping up a level, Over 3.5 has also landed reasonably often — 37% and 43% respectively — worth a look for goal-hungry markets.
On the defensive side: Jeonbuk Motors keep a clean sheet in 34% of their matches.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Jeonbuk Motors home games / Daejeon Citizen away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Jeonbuk Motors play Daejeon Citizen?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 63% of Jeonbuk Motors's games and 60% of Daejeon Citizen's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is Jeonbuk Motors vs Daejeon Citizen usually a high-scoring fixture?
Recent trends suggest it could be — Over 2.5 goals has landed in 60% of Jeonbuk Motors's matches and 63% of Daejeon Citizen's.
Do Jeonbuk Motors and Daejeon Citizen tend to score early?
Jeonbuk Motors have had a goal before half-time in 71% of their recent matches, Daejeon Citizen in 63% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Jeonbuk Motors's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Jeonbuk Motors and Daejeon Citizen finished level at 0-0 at Jeonju World Cup Stadium, Championship Group - 34, in the K League 1. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Jeonbuk Motors 1.48 xG and Daejeon Citizen 1.51 xG, a combined 2.99. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Jeonbuk Motors fell 1.5 short of their projected output. Daejeon Citizen landed 1.5 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Jeonbuk Motors attack 1.10 / defence 0.93 against Daejeon Citizen attack 1.22 / defence 1.05, drawn from 66/66 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Jeonbuk Motors 34% | Draw 30% | Daejeon Citizen 36%, with Daejeon Citizen to win its most likely call at 36%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 30%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 57%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 83% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 63% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 50% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Jeonbuk Motors 45%, Daejeon Citizen 55%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 57%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Jeonbuk Motors's trading profile (71 games, 35 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 55% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 39% of the time, and duly kept one.
Daejeon Citizen's trading profile (71 games, 35 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 59% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 25% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — Jeonbuk Motors 1.79 PPG, Daejeon Citizen 1.61 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. Jeonbuk Motors (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.77 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.11 average — tighter than their form line. Daejeon Citizen (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.74 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.29 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.