Feyenoord 0-0 Twente – Result & Analysis
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Poisson rates Feyenoord at 48% — recent form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Feyenoord vs Twente encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Full Analysis
Stadion Feijenoord plays host to Feyenoord versus Twente in Eredivisie (matchday 19). Kick-off: Sunday 28 January 2024 at 13:30 UK time.
Form & Momentum
Feyenoord have collected 2.20 PPG across their last 10 games: 7W 1D 2L. Last five: L W W D W. They are averaging 2.40 goals per game — a high-scoring output that makes them a genuine attacking threat in any fixture. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings (30%). Both teams have scored in 70% of their games — a high BTTS rate that carries real weight in the goals markets.
Feyenoord's home record over their last 10 home games: 6W 2D 2L (2.00 PPG). They are averaging 2.60 goals per home game — a prolific scoring rate in front of their own fans. BTTS has landed in 60% of their home matches — a rate that supports the Yes angle in this fixture.
Twente (all games): 4W 4D 2L across their last 10 — 1.60 points per game. Last five: W W D W L. They are scoring at 1.90 per game and conceding 1.70. Both teams have scored in 80% of their matches — a high rate that makes Yes a well-evidenced angle from their form.
Twente's form when playing away from home: 4W 4D 2L across their last 10 road games (1.60 PPG). They are averaging 1.80 goals per away game — strong road scoring that makes them a threat even without home support. BTTS has landed in 60% of their away games — meaningful support for the Yes angle in this specific context.
Form favours the hosts. Feyenoord's 2.20 PPG return is 0.60 points per game ahead of Twente's 1.60 — a genuine gap in recent results that provides a statistically grounded case for backing the home side.
In terms of goals, both squads have been finding the net consistently (from Feyenoord's last 10 home games and Twente's last 10 away games) — Feyenoord have seen both teams score in 60% of their games, Twente in 60%. That combined rate is a strong statistical case for BTTS Yes as a standalone play.
Head-to-Head
Neither side has dominated the 5 H2H matches in our data: 1 wins for Feyenoord, 2 for Twente and 2 draws — leaving the H2H largely neutral.
The 5 H2H matches in our data averaged 2.0 goals per game — a neutral rate that gives no strong lean on the goals market from the H2H alone. The most recent of those, on 29 Oct 2023, ended Feyenoord 1–2 Twente — a Twente win.
The head-to-head data offers no strong steer in either the result or goals markets. Form, the model and current market pricing should carry more weight for this fixture.
Trading
Feyenoord half-time and goal-timing data (last 52 games, 26 of them at home): at least one goal arrives before half-time in 81% of their matches in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 67% of the time; they lead at the break 54% of the time; of the 8 games they trailed at half-time, they recovered to draw or win 75%; BTTS occurs in 54% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 62% of games (home games); Over 3.5 in 46%.
Twente half-time and goal-timing data (last 52 games, 26 of them away): at least one goal arrives before half-time in 54% of their matches in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 87% of the time; of the 9 games they trailed at half-time, they recovered to draw or win 44%; BTTS occurs in 50% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 46% of games (away games).
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Feyenoord 62% versus Twente 50%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Feyenoord 67% | Twente 60%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Feyenoord 1.81 xG and Twente 1.27 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Feyenoord attack 1.328 / defence 0.858 | Twente attack 1.005 / defence 0.846. League average goals — home 1.612 / away 1.472. Feyenoord carry an above-average attack rating of 1.328 — their 1.81 xG reflects attacking quality above the league norm. Data: built from Feyenoord's last 52 games and Twente's last 52.
Result probabilities: Feyenoord 48% | Draw 28% | Twente 25%. Fair-value odds: Feyenoord 2.09 | Draw 3.63 | Twente 4.06. Feyenoord hold a narrow Poisson edge at 48% — the draw (28%) is close enough to merit draw-inclusive market consideration.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 59% | BTTS Yes probability 62% | Total xG 3.08. Over 2.5 holds a meaningful probability edge at 59% — the 3.08 total xG provides moderate support, though the model is not projecting a high-scoring game. BTTS Yes at 62% — both xG figures (1.81 / 1.27) are high enough that each side is projected to find the net.
Verdict
The Poisson model's primary lean is Feyenoord at 48% — moderate model lean. Recent form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. Draw probability of 28% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on Feyenoord if the outright odds are short.
On the goals line, Poisson's 3.08 combined xG gives a 59% probability to Over 2.5 — reasonable conviction, supported by recent form (Feyenoord's last 10 home games and Twente's last 10 away games) averaging 3.1 goals per game.
The Poisson model's BTTS call is Yes at 62%. Form rates corroborate — both teams scored in: Feyenoord 60% (last 10 home games) | Twente 60% (last 10 away games).
🔮 Your Prediction
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Feyenoord vs Twente | Competition: Eredivisie, matchday 19 | Venue: Stadion Feijenoord • Kick-off: Sunday 28 January 2024 at 13:30 UK time • Data inputs: head-to-head data, recent form (overall and home/away), the Poisson prediction model and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Feyenoord 48% | Draw 28% | Twente 25% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 59% (Under 41%) | BTTS Yes 62% (No 38%) | xG Feyenoord 1.81 / Twente 1.27 • Poisson strength factors: Feyenoord attack 1.328 / def 0.858 | Twente attack 1.005 / def 0.846 | league avg home 1.612 / away 1.472 • Poisson stance: Feyenoord (48%) — moderate lean
🧮 Prediction Model
1.81
Feyenoord xG
Expected Goals
1.27
Twente xG
62%
BTTS
84%
Over 1.5
59%
Over 2.5
37%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Feyenoord vs Twente FAQs
What time does Feyenoord vs Twente kick off?
Feyenoord vs Twente kicked off at 13:30 UK time on Sunday 28 January 2024 at Stadion Feijenoord.
What was the final score in Feyenoord vs Twente?
Feyenoord 0 - 0 Twente.
Where is Feyenoord vs Twente being played?
The match is being played at Stadion Feijenoord.
What competition is Feyenoord vs Twente part of?
Feyenoord vs Twente is a Eredivisie fixture (matchday 19) (Netherlands).
Who is favourite to win Feyenoord vs Twente?
Our statistical model gives Feyenoord a 48% chance of winning, Twente a 25% chance, and a 28% chance of a draw — making Feyenoord the favourite.
Will both teams score in Feyenoord vs Twente?
Our model estimates a 62% probability that both Feyenoord and Twente will score, so it leans towards BTTS Yes.
Will Feyenoord vs Twente have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 59%, so it leans towards over 2.5 goals.
🧮 Model Insight
Where the Numbers Come From
Feyenoord's attacking strength (1.33x league average) is weighed against Twente's defensive record (0.85x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 1.81. Flip it around — Twente's attack (1.00x) against Feyenoord's defence (0.86x) — and the away total comes out at 1.27.
These ratings are built from Feyenoord's last 52 games and Twente's last 52 — a full enough recent sample to trust.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 1-1, at 11.9%. Close behind: 2-1 (9.6%), 2-0 (7.5%). Together the top three scorelines make up 29% of the probability — a moderately spread distribution, typical of a competitive match-up.
Most Likely Outcome
Feyenoord Win
48%
2.09
28%
3.63
25%
4.06
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.6%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
9.6%
Home win
1 – 0
8.3%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.81
Feyenoord xG
Total xG
3.08
1.27
Twente xG
2.09
48%
Home win
3.63
28%
Draw
4.06
25%
Away win
Goals Markets
81%
Over 1.5
1.23
19%
Under 1.5
5.26
59%
Over 2.5
1.69
41%
Under 2.5
2.44
37%
Over 3.5
2.70
63%
Under 3.5
1.59
20%
Over 4.5
5.00
80%
Under 4.5
1.25
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
62%
BTTS Yes
1.60
38%
BTTS No
2.66
Clean Sheet
28%
3.56
16%
6.10
Win to Nil
13%
7.45
4%
24.79
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.6 | 5.8 | 3.7 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 8.3 | 10.6 | 6.7 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 7.5 | 9.6 | 6.1 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 4.5 | 5.8 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Feyenoord vs Twente Prediction FAQs
What is the most likely scoreline for Feyenoord vs Twente?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 11.9%.
How many goals are Feyenoord and Twente expected to score?
The model projects 1.81 expected goals for Feyenoord and 1.27 for Twente, a combined total of 3.08.
How confident is the prediction model for Feyenoord vs Twente?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 48%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Recent Form Overview
Feyenoord's recent record stands at 38W 10D 4L from 52 games, a 2.38 PPG return, with L-W-W-D-W in the last five.
Twente, meanwhile, have gone 29W 15D 8L across 52 games — 1.96 PPG, with W-W-D-W-L in their last five.
The points-per-game comparison favours Feyenoord by 0.42 — a real, if not enormous, edge over Twente heading into this one.
How They Fare by Venue
At home specifically, Feyenoord have managed 18W 6D 2L from their last 26 home games — 2.31 PPG in front of their own supporters.
Twente's away record stands at 9W 10D 7L across their last 26 away games, a 1.42 PPG haul. That's a step down from their 1.96 PPG overall record — away form has been the weaker part of Twente's recent record.
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Feyenoord come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
Attack vs Defence
Feyenoord are averaging 2.56 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game recently; Twente are on 1.96 scored and 0.94 conceded. Feyenoord's scoring rate against Twente's tighter defensive record is one of the more interesting match-ups in the goals markets here.
On BTTS specifically: Feyenoord have seen both teams score in 62% of their recent games.
Defensively: Feyenoord have kept a clean sheet in 37% of their games; Twente in 38% — worth knowing if you're weighing up clean-sheet or BTTS-No markets.
Last 52 Results
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Feyenoord
Blended
Twente
Blended
Feyenoord (Home) vs Twente (Away)
Home games only for the home side · Away games only for the away side
Feyenoord
Blended
Twente
Blended
❓ Feyenoord vs Twente Form FAQs
What form are Feyenoord and Twente in coming into this match?
Feyenoord have gone 38W 10D 4L in their last 52 games (2.38 PPG), while Twente have gone 29W 15D 8L in their last 52 (1.96 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Feyenoord at home or Twente away?
Feyenoord's home record (2.31 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Feyenoord at home: 2.31 PPG; Twente away: 1.42 PPG.
Have Feyenoord or Twente been keeping clean sheets recently?
Feyenoord have kept a clean sheet in 37% of their recent games, Twente in 38%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
The Rivalry So Far
Our data holds 10 H2H matches between Feyenoord and Twente, the earliest from November 2021. All of them came in Eredivisie. The most recent was on 1 March 2026, roughly 8 months ago.
Notable Numbers
For context on how one-sided this fixture can get: Feyenoord won Twente 2-6 Feyenoord on 16 Mar 2025, the biggest margin in the H2H matches we hold.
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, Feyenoord have gone 2W 2D 1L from the 5 H2H matches in our data played on their own ground against Twente — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 10 Meetings
3
Feyenoord
4
Draws
3
Twente
Recent Meetings
❓ Feyenoord vs Twente H2H FAQs
What is the head-to-head record between Feyenoord and Twente?
Across the 10 head-to-head matches in our data, Feyenoord have won 3, Twente have won 3, and 4 have been drawn.
When did Feyenoord and Twente last play each other?
The most recent meeting in our data was on 1 March 2026: Twente 2-0 Feyenoord.
📈 Trading Insight
Early Goal Trends
Feyenoord are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 81% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 58% of the time. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 75% of those situations.
Twente see a goal before the break in 54% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 27% of the time, though they've let that lead slip 43% of the time they've held it — worth watching if they're only ahead by one.
Full-Time Markets
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Feyenoord 54%, Twente 50% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 62% (Feyenoord) and 46% (Twente).
On the defensive side: Feyenoord keep a clean sheet in 42% of their matches; Twente in 31%; Twente in 27%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Feyenoord home games / Twente away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Feyenoord vs Twente Trading FAQs
Do both teams usually score in Feyenoord and Twente matches?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 54% of Feyenoord's recent matches and 50% of Twente's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Are Feyenoord and Twente matches usually high-scoring?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 62% of Feyenoord's recent games and 46% of Twente's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Feyenoord and Twente matches tend to have early goals?
There has been at least one first-half goal in 81% of Feyenoord's recent matches and 54% of Twente's — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Feyenoord's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Feyenoord and Twente finished level at 0-0 at Stadion Feijenoord, Regular Season - 19, in the Eredivisie. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Feyenoord 1.81 xG and Twente 1.27 xG, a combined 3.08. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Feyenoord fell 1.8 short of their projected output. Twente landed 1.3 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Feyenoord attack 1.33 / defence 0.86 against Twente attack 1.00 / defence 0.85, drawn from 52/52 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Feyenoord 48% | Draw 28% | Twente 25%, with Feyenoord to win its most likely call at 48%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 28%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 59%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — the opposite of the projected direction. Over 1.5 had been 84% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 62% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 63% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Feyenoord 67%, Twente 60%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 56%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Feyenoord's trading profile (52 games, 26 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 62% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 36% of the time, and duly kept one.
Twente's trading profile (52 games, 26 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 50% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 38% of the time, and duly kept one.
Form vs Result
On form, Feyenoord arrived the stronger side — 2.38 PPG against 1.96. The form guide was only half-right: the stronger side did not lose, but could not convert the edge into a win. Feyenoord (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 2.42 scoring average — below par going forward. Twente (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.50 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.00 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (miss). The data was on the wrong side of this result more often than not — a reminder that a single match sits well inside the model's variance.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.
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