Eintracht Braunschweig 1-0 1. FC Kaiserslautern – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson model rates Eintracht Braunschweig at 45%, yet other data sources diverge — this Eintracht Braunschweig vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis & Preview
A 2. Bundesliga encounter, Regular Season - 27 sees 1. FC Kaiserslautern travel to Eintracht-Stadion to take on Eintracht Braunschweig. The game is scheduled for Saturday 8 April 2023, 12:00 UTC.
Form Analysis
Looking at all fixtures this season, Eintracht Braunschweig stand at 2W 2D 6L from 10 2. Bundesliga matches — 0.80 PPG. Last five: L D L W D. They are averaging 1.30 goals per game and conceding 1.90 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a high BTTS rate that carries real weight in the goals markets. This season is still relatively young for Eintracht Braunschweig, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Eintracht Braunschweig's form when playing at home: 5W 2D 3L across 10 games at Eintracht-Stadion this term (1.70 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.60 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. Their home PPG of 1.70 is noticeably stronger than their overall 0.80 — Eintracht Braunschweig are significantly better at Eintracht-Stadion than their overall form suggests.
1. FC Kaiserslautern — All Games: 4W 2D 4L from 10 2. Bundesliga fixtures this season — 1.40 PPG. Last five: W L D L D. Their scoring rate of 1.40 per game is modest, conceding 1.40 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market. This season is still relatively young for 1. FC Kaiserslautern, so this record blends games from this season and last.
On the road, 1. FC Kaiserslautern have gone 4W 2D 4L from 10 away fixtures this term (1.40 PPG). Away from home they average 1.30 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game.
Form points away from home here. 1. FC Kaiserslautern's 1.40 PPG return is 0.60 points per game ahead of Eintracht Braunschweig's 0.80 — the visitors are the form-based selection, and Double Chance is an alternative worth pricing if the outright looks tight.
H2H
The rivalry is an even one: 0 wins apiece for Eintracht Braunschweig, 0 for 1. FC Kaiserslautern and 1 shared spoils from 1 past contests. Neither side holds a meaningful historical edge.
The 1 previous meetings have averaged 2.0 goals per game — a neutral rate that provides no strong lean on the goals market from the H2H alone. The most recent clash, on 2 Oct 2022, ended 1–1 with a draw.
The head-to-head offers no strong directional steer in either the result or goals markets. Form, the predictive model and current market pricing should carry more weight than the historical record for this fixture.
In-Play Profile
Eintracht Braunschweig in-play tendencies (26 games, 13 at home): they score before half-time in 38% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 93% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 71% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 46% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 46% of games (home games); they fail to score in 31% of games.
1. FC Kaiserslautern in-play tendencies (26 games, 13 at away): they score before half-time in 62% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 78% of the time; when trailing at the break they recover to draw or win in 27% of cases; BTTS occurs in 54% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 46% of games (away games); Over 3.5 in 38%; they fail to score in 31% of games.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Eintracht Braunschweig 58% versus 1. FC Kaiserslautern 62%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Eintracht Braunschweig 50% | 1. FC Kaiserslautern 58%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Eintracht Braunschweig 1.46 xG and 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1.12 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Eintracht Braunschweig attack 0.979 / defence 1.119 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern attack 0.784 / defence 1.003. League average goals — home 1.490 / away 1.281. Data: 26 Eintracht Braunschweig games / 26 1. FC Kaiserslautern games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Eintracht Braunschweig 45% | Draw 26% | 1. FC Kaiserslautern 29%. Fair-value odds: Eintracht Braunschweig 2.22 | Draw 3.85 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern 3.45. Eintracht Braunschweig hold a narrow Poisson edge at 45% — the draw (26%) is close enough to merit draw-inclusive market consideration.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 48% | BTTS probability 52% | Total xG 2.59. Over/Under 2.5 is close to a coin-flip at 48%/52% — the total xG of 2.59 sits near the 2.5 margin; this is a low-edge market from a Poisson standpoint. BTTS probability of 52% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Our Verdict
Poisson rates Eintracht Braunschweig as the most likely outcome at 45% — moderate model lean. Note a divergence: in-form 1. FC Kaiserslautern (1.40 PPG) cuts against the Poisson lean — consider the strength-adjusted model over surface-level form results. With a 26% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Eintracht Braunschweig offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win. The opposing side holds a 29% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
The Poisson model projects 2.59 xG in total — Under 2.5 at 48% — Poisson-only — limited corroboration confidence.
On the BTTS market, Poisson puts 52% on Yes. Form rates are neutral: Eintracht Braunschweig 50% | 1. FC Kaiserslautern 50%.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Eintracht Braunschweig vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern | Competition: 2. Bundesliga, Regular Season - 27 | Venue: Eintracht-Stadion • Kick-off: Saturday 8 Apr 2023, 12:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Eintracht Braunschweig 45% | Draw 26% | 1. FC Kaiserslautern 29% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 48% | BTTS 52% | xG Eintracht Braunschweig 1.46 / 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1.12 • Poisson strength factors: Eintracht Braunschweig attack 0.979 / def 1.119 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern attack 0.784 / def 1.003 | league avg home 1.490 / away 1.281 • Poisson stance: Eintracht Braunschweig (45%) — moderate lean
🧮 Prediction Model
1.46
Eintracht Braunschweig xG
Expected Goals
1.12
1. FC Kaiserslautern xG
52%
BTTS
73%
Over 1.5
48%
Over 2.5
26%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Eintracht Braunschweig vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern kick off?
Eintracht Braunschweig vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern kicked off at 12:00 on Saturday 8 April 2023 at Eintracht-Stadion.
What was the final score in Eintracht Braunschweig vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern?
Eintracht Braunschweig 1 - 0 1. FC Kaiserslautern.
Where is Eintracht Braunschweig vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern being played?
The match is being played at Eintracht-Stadion.
What competition is Eintracht Braunschweig vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern part of?
Eintracht Braunschweig vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern is a Regular Season - 27 fixture in the 2. Bundesliga (Germany).
Who is favourite to win Eintracht Braunschweig vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern?
Our statistical model gives Eintracht Braunschweig a 45% chance of winning, 1. FC Kaiserslautern a 29% chance, and a 26% chance of a draw — making Eintracht Braunschweig the favourite.
Will both teams score in Eintracht Braunschweig vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern?
Our model estimates a 52% probability that both Eintracht Braunschweig and 1. FC Kaiserslautern will score (BTTS).
Will Eintracht Braunschweig vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 48%.
What is the head-to-head record between Eintracht Braunschweig and 1. FC Kaiserslautern?
Record (1 meetings): Eintracht Braunschweig 0W | Draws 1 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern 0W.
What form are Eintracht Braunschweig and 1. FC Kaiserslautern in?
Eintracht Braunschweig (all comps): 2W-2D-6L in 10 | 0.80 PPG | GF 1.30 / GA 1.90 | L5 L-D-L-W-D. 1. FC Kaiserslautern (all comps): 4W-2D-4L in 10 | 1.40 PPG | GF 1.40 / GA 1.40 | L5 W-L-D-L-D.
🧮 Model Insight
Model Mechanics
The model rates Eintracht Braunschweig's attack at 0.98x the league average against 1. FC Kaiserslautern's defence at 1.00x — combine the two and it projects 1.46 expected goals for the hosts. The same calculation in reverse, 1. FC Kaiserslautern's attack versus Eintracht Braunschweig's defence, projects 1.12 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 26/26 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 1-1 carries the highest individual probability at 14.0% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 1-0 (9.4%), 0-0 (9.1%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 32% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Eintracht Braunschweig Win
45%
2.23
26%
3.84
29%
3.44
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.4%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
11.0%
Home win
2 – 1
9.1%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.46
Eintracht Braunschweig xG
Total xG
2.59
1.12
1. FC Kaiserslautern xG
2.23
45%
Home win
3.84
26%
Draw
3.44
29%
Away win
Goals Markets
73%
Over 1.5
1.37
27%
Under 1.5
3.70
48%
Over 2.5
2.08
52%
Under 2.5
1.92
26%
Over 3.5
3.85
74%
Under 3.5
1.35
12%
Over 4.5
8.33
88%
Under 4.5
1.14
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
52%
BTTS Yes
1.93
48%
BTTS No
2.08
Clean Sheet
32%
3.08
23%
4.32
Win to Nil
15%
6.86
7%
14.85
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.5 | 8.5 | 4.8 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 11.0 | 12.4 | 7.0 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 8.0 | 9.1 | 5.1 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 3.9 | 4.4 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Eintracht Braunschweig vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 14.0%.
How many goals are Eintracht Braunschweig and 1. FC Kaiserslautern expected to score?
The model projects 1.46 expected goals for Eintracht Braunschweig and 1.12 for 1. FC Kaiserslautern, a combined total of 2.59.
How confident is the prediction model for Eintracht Braunschweig vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 45%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Where Both Sides Stand
Eintracht Braunschweig come into this having played 26 games, going 6W 8D 12L for 1.00 points per game. Their last five reads L-D-L-W-D. The sample for Eintracht Braunschweig is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
On the other side, 1. FC Kaiserslautern sit at 1.54 PPG from 26 outings (10W 10D 6L), a run that reads W-L-D-L-D across their last five. The sample for 1. FC Kaiserslautern is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
1. FC Kaiserslautern carry the stronger recent form of the two, 0.54 PPG clear of Eintracht Braunschweig — worth weighing alongside whatever the head-to-head and market data say.
Home Ground vs the Road
Eintracht Braunschweig's home form reads 5W 3D 5L across 13 games on their own ground, a 1.38 PPG return.
Away from home, 1. FC Kaiserslautern have taken 1.46 points per game from 13 outings (5W 4D 4L).
The Goals Picture
Eintracht Braunschweig are averaging 1.19 goals scored and 1.69 conceded per game recently; 1. FC Kaiserslautern are on 1.58 scored and 1.38 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: 1. FC Kaiserslautern in 62%.
Last 26 Results — 2. Bundesliga
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Eintracht Braunschweig
Blended
1. FC Kaiserslautern
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Eintracht Braunschweig and 1. FC Kaiserslautern in coming into this match?
Eintracht Braunschweig have gone 6W 8D 12L in their last 26 games (1.00 PPG), while 1. FC Kaiserslautern have gone 10W 10D 6L in their last 26 (1.54 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Eintracht Braunschweig at home or 1. FC Kaiserslautern away?
1. FC Kaiserslautern's away record (1.46 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Eintracht Braunschweig at home: 1.38 PPG; 1. FC Kaiserslautern away: 1.46 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
A Look Back
The fixture history between Eintracht Braunschweig and 1. FC Kaiserslautern runs to 8 recorded meetings, the earliest dating back to October 2022. Every recorded meeting has come in 2. Bundesliga. They last met on 24 April 2026, roughly 3 months ago.
Digging Into the Numbers
Eintracht Braunschweig have won the last 3 meetings between these two, a run that gives them the psychological edge coming in.
The biggest gap between the sides came on 19 May 2024, when 1. FC Kaiserslautern won 5-0 — the largest margin of victory on record between these two.
Eintracht Braunschweig's record when hosting 1. FC Kaiserslautern specifically: 4W 0D 0L from 4 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 8 Meetings
5
Eintracht Braunschweig
1
Draws
2
1. FC Kaiserslautern
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Eintracht Braunschweig and 1. FC Kaiserslautern?
From 8 meetings on record, Eintracht Braunschweig have won 5, 1. FC Kaiserslautern have won 2, and 1 have been drawn.
When did Eintracht Braunschweig and 1. FC Kaiserslautern last play each other?
They last met on 24 April 2026, when 1. FC Kaiserslautern 0-2 Eintracht Braunschweig.
Who has won more matches between Eintracht Braunschweig and 1. FC Kaiserslautern?
Eintracht Braunschweig have the better head-to-head record, with 5 wins from 8 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
Half-Time Trends
Eintracht Braunschweig see a goal before the break in 38% of their matches.
1. FC Kaiserslautern are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 62% of their matches. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 38% of those situations.
The Numbers That Matter
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Eintracht Braunschweig 46%, 1. FC Kaiserslautern 54% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 46% (Eintracht Braunschweig) and 46% (1. FC Kaiserslautern).
On the defensive side: Eintracht Braunschweig have failed to score in 38% of games; 1. FC Kaiserslautern in 38%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Eintracht Braunschweig home games / 1. FC Kaiserslautern away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Eintracht Braunschweig play 1. FC Kaiserslautern?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 46% of Eintracht Braunschweig's recent matches and 54% of 1. FC Kaiserslautern's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is Eintracht Braunschweig vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 46% of Eintracht Braunschweig's recent games and 46% of 1. FC Kaiserslautern's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Eintracht Braunschweig and 1. FC Kaiserslautern tend to score early?
Eintracht Braunschweig have had a goal before half-time in 38% of their recent matches, 1. FC Kaiserslautern in 62% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Prediction vindicated as Eintracht Braunschweig edge out 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1-0.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Eintracht Braunschweig beat 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1-0 at Eintracht-Stadion, Regular Season - 27, in the 2. Bundesliga. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Eintracht Braunschweig 1.46 xG and 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1.12 xG, a combined 2.59. The scoreboard read 1-0 for 1 actual goal. 1. FC Kaiserslautern landed 1.1 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Eintracht Braunschweig attack 0.98 / defence 1.12 against 1. FC Kaiserslautern attack 0.78 / defence 1.00, drawn from 26/26 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Eintracht Braunschweig 45% | Draw 26% | 1. FC Kaiserslautern 29%, with Eintracht Braunschweig to win its most likely call at 45%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 48%. The game delivered 1, so it stayed under — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 73% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 52% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 54% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Eintracht Braunschweig 50%, 1. FC Kaiserslautern 58%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 60%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Eintracht Braunschweig's trading profile (26 games, 13 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 58% of their matches — today it did not.
1. FC Kaiserslautern's trading profile (26 games, 13 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 62% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 31% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Form vs Result
On form, 1. FC Kaiserslautern arrived the stronger side — 1.54 PPG against 1.00. Form was overturned, with Eintracht Braunschweig winning despite arriving in poorer recent shape. Eintracht Braunschweig (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.31 average — tighter than their form line. 1. FC Kaiserslautern (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.38 scoring average — below par going forward.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss), form (miss). The model got the gist right while missing on the margins.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.