Grenoble 0-0 RED Star FC 93 – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson model rates Grenoble at 57%, yet other data sources diverge — this Grenoble vs RED Star FC 93 fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis & Preview
A Ligue 2 encounter, Regular Season - 22 sees RED Star FC 93 travel to Stade des Alpes to take on Grenoble. The game is scheduled for Friday 7 February 2025, 19:00 UTC.
Form Analysis
Looking at all fixtures this season, Grenoble stand at 4W 1D 5L from 10 Ligue 2 matches — 1.30 PPG. Last five: W W W L W. They are averaging 0.80 goals per game and conceding 1.50 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. Both teams have scored in just 30% of their matches, indicating a tendency toward clean sheets or low-scoring outcomes. This season is still relatively young for Grenoble, so this record blends games from this season and last.
At home at Stade des Alpes, Grenoble have gone 6W 2D 2L this season (10 games, 2.00 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.50 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 4 home clean sheets from 10 games (40%) — a solid defensive base on their own ground. Their home PPG of 2.00 is noticeably stronger than their overall 1.30 — Grenoble are significantly better at Stade des Alpes than their overall form suggests.
Across all Ligue 2 games this season, RED Star FC 93 have recorded 3W 2D 5L from 10 outings — 1.10 PPG. Last five: W D L L L. Their scoring rate of 1.10 per game is modest, conceding 1.80 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market. This season is still relatively young for RED Star FC 93, so this record blends games from this season and last.
RED Star FC 93's away record: 3W 2D 5L from 10 road trips in Ligue 2 this season (1.10 PPG). Away from home they average 1.20 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 60% of their away games — meaningful support for the Yes angle in this specific context.
The form comparison is too close to call — 1.30 PPG (Grenoble) versus 1.10 (RED Star FC 93). When the figures are this level, no pick can be reliably derived from recent results alone.
H2H Record
The H2H landscape is flat: 1 previous encounters have yielded 0 wins for Grenoble, 1 for RED Star FC 93 and 0 draws. A neutral reading in isolation.
The 1 previous encounters between these sides have been high-scoring affairs — 4.0 goals per contest on average. Historical precedent backs the Over 2.5 goals market. The most recent clash, on 14 Dec 2024, ended 1–3 with RED Star FC 93 winning.
With the win record balanced, the strongest H2H-derived signal is in the goals market. At 4.0 goals per game historically, Over 2.5 is the cleaner angle to extract from the head-to-head data.
In-Play Data
Grenoble trading profile (21 games, 11 at home): they score before half-time in 46% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 80% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 60% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 46% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 46% of games (home games); they fail to score in 38% of games.
RED Star FC 93 trading profile (21 games, 11 at away): they score before half-time in 82% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 75% of the time; BTTS occurs in 54% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 46% of games (away games).
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Grenoble 38% versus RED Star FC 93 52%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Grenoble 52% | RED Star FC 93 57%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Grenoble 1.76 xG and RED Star FC 93 0.92 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Grenoble attack 1.029 / defence 0.969 | RED Star FC 93 attack 0.941 / defence 1.320. League average goals — home 1.296 / away 1.008. RED Star FC 93 bring a strong defensive rating of 1.320 — this is suppressing Grenoble's projected output below what their attack strength alone would suggest. Data: 59 Grenoble games / 21 RED Star FC 93 games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Grenoble 57% | Draw 23% | RED Star FC 93 19%. Fair-value odds: Grenoble 1.75 | Draw 4.35 | RED Star FC 93 5.26. The model has a clear lean to Grenoble (57%) — a 38pp gap over the next-most-likely outcome reflects a meaningful statistical advantage.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 50% | BTTS probability 50% | Total xG 2.68. Over/Under 2.5 is close to a coin-flip at 50%/50% — the total xG of 2.68 sits near the 2.5 margin; this is a low-edge market from a Poisson standpoint. BTTS probability of 50% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Analysis Verdict
On the Poisson output, Grenoble are the pick at 57% — clear model lean. Draw No Bet is worth pricing alongside the outright: 23% draw probability makes the stalemate a live outcome even at this conviction level.
On the goals line, Poisson's 2.68 combined xG gives a 50% probability to Over 2.5 — Poisson-only — limited corroboration.
Poisson assigns a 50% probability to BTTS No based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates are neutral: Grenoble 40% | RED Star FC 93 60%.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Grenoble vs RED Star FC 93 | Competition: Ligue 2, Regular Season - 22 | Venue: Stade des Alpes • Kick-off: Friday 7 Feb 2025, 19:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Grenoble 57% | Draw 23% | RED Star FC 93 19% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 50% | BTTS 50% | xG Grenoble 1.76 / RED Star FC 93 0.92 • Poisson strength factors: Grenoble attack 1.029 / def 0.969 | RED Star FC 93 attack 0.941 / def 1.320 | league avg home 1.296 / away 1.008 • Poisson stance: Grenoble (57%) — strong lean
🧮 Prediction Model
1.76
Grenoble xG
Expected Goals
0.92
RED Star FC 93 xG
50%
BTTS
75%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
28%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Grenoble vs RED Star FC 93 kick off?
Grenoble vs RED Star FC 93 kicked off at 19:00 on Friday 7 February 2025 at Stade des Alpes.
What was the final score in Grenoble vs RED Star FC 93?
Grenoble 0 - 0 RED Star FC 93.
Where is Grenoble vs RED Star FC 93 being played?
The match is being played at Stade des Alpes.
What competition is Grenoble vs RED Star FC 93 part of?
Grenoble vs RED Star FC 93 is a Regular Season - 22 fixture in the Ligue 2 (France).
Who is favourite to win Grenoble vs RED Star FC 93?
Our statistical model gives Grenoble a 57% chance of winning, RED Star FC 93 a 19% chance, and a 23% chance of a draw — making Grenoble the favourite.
Will both teams score in Grenoble vs RED Star FC 93?
Our model estimates a 50% probability that both Grenoble and RED Star FC 93 will score (BTTS).
Will Grenoble vs RED Star FC 93 have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 50%.
What is the head-to-head record between Grenoble and RED Star FC 93?
Record (1 meetings): Grenoble 0W | Draws 0 | RED Star FC 93 1W.
What form are Grenoble and RED Star FC 93 in?
Grenoble (all comps): 4W-1D-5L in 10 | 1.30 PPG | GF 0.80 / GA 1.50 | L5 W-W-W-L-W. RED Star FC 93 (all comps): 3W-2D-5L in 10 | 1.10 PPG | GF 1.10 / GA 1.80 | L5 W-D-L-L-L.
🧮 Model Insight
How the Model Works This Match
Grenoble's attacking strength (1.03x league average) is weighed against RED Star FC 93's defensive record (1.32x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 1.76. The same calculation in reverse, RED Star FC 93's attack versus Grenoble's defence, projects 0.92 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 59/21 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 1-1, at 12.5%. Close behind: 1-0 (10.6%), 2-0 (10.6%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 34% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Grenoble Win
57%
1.75
23%
4.28
19%
5.15
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
12.1%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
11.1%
Draw
2 – 0
10.6%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.76
Grenoble xG
Total xG
2.68
0.92
RED Star FC 93 xG
1.75
57%
Home win
4.28
23%
Draw
5.15
19%
Away win
Goals Markets
75%
Over 1.5
1.33
25%
Under 1.5
4.00
50%
Over 2.5
2.00
50%
Under 2.5
2.00
28%
Over 3.5
3.57
72%
Under 3.5
1.39
13%
Over 4.5
7.69
87%
Under 4.5
1.15
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
50%
BTTS Yes
2.01
50%
BTTS No
1.99
Clean Sheet
40%
2.51
17%
5.81
Win to Nil
23%
4.38
3%
29.91
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.9 | 6.3 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 12.1 | 11.1 | 5.1 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 10.6 | 9.8 | 4.5 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 6.2 | 5.7 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Grenoble vs RED Star FC 93?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 12.5%.
How many goals are Grenoble and RED Star FC 93 expected to score?
The model projects 1.76 expected goals for Grenoble and 0.92 for RED Star FC 93, a combined total of 2.68.
How confident is the prediction model for Grenoble vs RED Star FC 93?
Reasonably confident — the model's leading outcome is rated at 57%, a clear lean rather than a toss-up.
📈 Form Insight
Form at a Glance
Grenoble's recent record stands at 9W 3D 9L from 21 games, a 1.43 PPG return, with W-W-W-L-W in the last five. The sample for Grenoble is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
RED Star FC 93, meanwhile, have gone 6W 4D 11L across 21 games — 1.05 PPG, with W-D-L-L-L in their last five. The sample for RED Star FC 93 is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Form-wise this is close to level: Grenoble on 1.43 PPG, RED Star FC 93 on 1.05. Other factors will likely decide this one more than recent results.
Venue Form
At home specifically, Grenoble have managed 7W 2D 2L from 11 games — 2.09 PPG in front of their own supporters. That's noticeably better than their 1.43 PPG overall — Grenoble are a different proposition at home than their general record suggests.
RED Star FC 93's away record stands at 3W 2D 6L across 11 trips, a 1.00 PPG haul.
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Grenoble come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
Goals in Recent Form
Grenoble are averaging 1.19 goals scored and 1.24 conceded per game recently; RED Star FC 93 are on 1.05 scored and 1.81 conceded.
Last 21 Results — Ligue 2
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Grenoble
Blended
RED Star FC 93
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Grenoble and RED Star FC 93 in coming into this match?
Grenoble have gone 9W 3D 9L in their last 21 games (1.43 PPG), while RED Star FC 93 have gone 6W 4D 11L in their last 21 (1.05 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Grenoble at home or RED Star FC 93 away?
Grenoble's home record (2.09 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Grenoble at home: 2.09 PPG; RED Star FC 93 away: 1.00 PPG.
Have Grenoble or RED Star FC 93 been keeping clean sheets recently?
Grenoble have kept a clean sheet in 33% of their recent games, RED Star FC 93 in 24%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
Fixture History
4 meetings separate these sides on the data we hold, the series stretching back to December 2024. Every recorded meeting has come in Ligue 2. They last met on 17 January 2026, roughly 8 months ago.
Streaks & Records
RED Star FC 93 have won the last 2 meetings between these two, a run that gives them the psychological edge coming in.
The biggest gap between the sides came on 17 Jan 2026, when RED Star FC 93 won 0-3 — the largest margin of victory on record between these two.
Grenoble's record when hosting RED Star FC 93 specifically: 0W 1D 1L from 2 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 4 Meetings
0
Grenoble
1
Draws
3
RED Star FC 93
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Grenoble and RED Star FC 93?
From 4 meetings on record, Grenoble have won 0, RED Star FC 93 have won 3, and 1 have been drawn.
When did Grenoble and RED Star FC 93 last play each other?
They last met on 17 January 2026, when Grenoble 0-3 RED Star FC 93.
Who has won more matches between Grenoble and RED Star FC 93?
RED Star FC 93 have the better head-to-head record, with 3 wins from 4 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
First-Half Patterns
Grenoble see a goal before the break in 46% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 27% of the time.
RED Star FC 93 are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 82% of their matches.
Full-Time Trends
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Grenoble 46%, RED Star FC 93 54% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 46% (Grenoble) and 46% (RED Star FC 93).
On the defensive side: Grenoble keep a clean sheet in 36% of their matches; Grenoble have failed to score in 27% of games; RED Star FC 93 in 27%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Grenoble home games / RED Star FC 93 away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Grenoble play RED Star FC 93?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 46% of Grenoble's recent matches and 54% of RED Star FC 93's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is Grenoble vs RED Star FC 93 usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 46% of Grenoble's recent games and 46% of RED Star FC 93's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Grenoble and RED Star FC 93 tend to score early?
Grenoble have had a goal before half-time in 46% of their recent matches, RED Star FC 93 in 82% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Grenoble's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Grenoble and RED Star FC 93 finished level at 0-0 at Stade des Alpes, Regular Season - 22, in the Ligue 2. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Grenoble 1.76 xG and RED Star FC 93 0.92 xG, a combined 2.68. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Grenoble fell 1.8 short of their projected output. RED Star FC 93 landed 0.9 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Grenoble attack 1.03 / defence 0.97 against RED Star FC 93 attack 0.94 / defence 1.32, drawn from 59/21 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Grenoble 57% | Draw 23% | RED Star FC 93 19%, with Grenoble to win its most likely call at 57%. Instead the game produced a draw, an outcome the model had rated at just 23% — a clear break from expectation and a genuine upset by the numbers.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 50%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 75% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 50% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 55% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Grenoble 52%, RED Star FC 93 57%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 45%, which matched the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Grenoble's trading profile (21 games, 11 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 38% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 33% of the time, and duly kept one; they fail to score in 38% of games, a blank that repeated today.
RED Star FC 93's trading profile (21 games, 11 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 52% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 29% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — Grenoble 1.43 PPG, RED Star FC 93 1.05 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. Grenoble (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.55 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 0.82 average — tighter than their form line. RED Star FC 93 (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.09 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.91 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (hit). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.