SCR Altach 0-0 Lask Linz – Result & Analysis
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Poisson model favours Lask Linz (38%) — form and H2H data both point in the same direction as SCR Altach face Lask Linz.
✍️ Match Preview
Pre-Match Analysis
SCR Altach and Lask Linz meet at CASHPOINT Arena in Bundesliga, Regular Season - 21. This fixture gets under way on Sunday 3 March 2024 at 16:00 UTC.
Form
SCR Altach (all games): 1W 2D 7L across 10 Bundesliga fixtures this term — 0.50 PPG. Last five: W L D L L. They are averaging 0.70 goals per game and conceding 1.70 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. This season is still relatively young for SCR Altach, so this record blends games from this season and last.
SCR Altach's home record at CASHPOINT Arena: 3W 2D 5L from 10 Bundesliga appearances (1.10 PPG). At home they are averaging 0.90 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. Their home PPG of 1.10 is noticeably stronger than their overall 0.50 — SCR Altach are significantly better at CASHPOINT Arena than their overall form suggests.
Lask Linz's overall Bundesliga record this term: 4W 4D 2L from 10 games (1.60 PPG). Last five: D W D D L. Their scoring rate of 1.30 per game is modest, conceding 1.00 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 4 clean sheets in 10 outings (40%) underlines their defensive solidity. This season is still relatively young for Lask Linz, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Lask Linz's away record: 3W 4D 3L from 10 road trips in Bundesliga this season (1.30 PPG). Away from home they average 1.20 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game.
The travelling side arrive in better shape. Lask Linz are 1.10 PPG clear of SCR Altach in recent Bundesliga fixtures (1.60 vs 0.50). Backing the visitors outright or on Draw No Bet are both valid approaches where the price allows.
H2H History
Across the last 3 meetings, Lask Linz have the stronger historical record — 3 wins to SCR Altach's 0, with 0 draws in the mix.
The 3 previous meetings have averaged 2.3 goals per game — a neutral rate that provides no strong lean on the goals market from the H2H alone. The most recent clash, on 8 Oct 2023, ended 0–1 with Lask Linz winning.
It is worth noting that Lask Linz have a superior record in this fixture despite their visitor status — 3 wins from 3 meetings. Home advantage alone is not a sufficient reason to dismiss that track record.
Trading Data
SCR Altach goal-timing and half-time pattern breakdown (52 games, 26 at home): they score before half-time in 65% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 72% of the time; BTTS occurs in 50% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 38% of games (home games); they fail to score in 40% of games.
Lask Linz goal-timing and half-time pattern breakdown (52 games, 26 at away): they score before half-time in 73% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 78% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 56% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 62% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 35% of games (away games).
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — SCR Altach 48% versus Lask Linz 58%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (SCR Altach 48% | Lask Linz 42%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects SCR Altach 0.95 xG and Lask Linz 1.11 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: SCR Altach attack 0.826 / defence 1.020 | Lask Linz attack 0.961 / defence 0.840. League average goals — home 1.371 / away 1.138. Data: 42 SCR Altach games / 42 Lask Linz games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: SCR Altach 30% | Draw 32% | Lask Linz 38%. Fair-value odds: SCR Altach 3.33 | Draw 3.12 | Lask Linz 2.63. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 32% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 34% | BTTS probability 42% | Total xG 2.07. Under 2.5 is the strongly backed market at 66% probability — total xG of 2.07 sits well below the 2.5 threshold. The model is projecting a tight, low-scoring match based on both sides' defensive quality. BTTS probability of 42% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Final Verdict
Poisson rates Lask Linz as the most likely outcome at 38% — marginal model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. Draw probability of 32% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on Lask Linz if the outright odds are short. The opposing side holds a 30% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
The Poisson model projects 2.07 xG in total — Under 2.5 at 34% — reasonable confidence, supported by form averaging 2.2 goals per game.
Poisson assigns a 42% probability to BTTS No based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates corroborate: SCR Altach 40% | Lask Linz 50% BTTS from recent games.
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: SCR Altach vs Lask Linz | Competition: Bundesliga, Regular Season - 21 | Venue: CASHPOINT Arena • Kick-off: Sunday 3 Mar 2024, 16:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: SCR Altach 30% | Draw 32% | Lask Linz 38% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 34% | BTTS 42% | xG SCR Altach 0.95 / Lask Linz 1.11 • Poisson strength factors: SCR Altach attack 0.826 / def 1.020 | Lask Linz attack 0.961 / def 0.840 | league avg home 1.371 / away 1.138 • Poisson stance: Lask Linz (38%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
0.95
SCR Altach xG
Expected Goals
1.11
Lask Linz xG
42%
BTTS
62%
Over 1.5
34%
Over 2.5
16%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does SCR Altach vs Lask Linz kick off?
SCR Altach vs Lask Linz kicked off at 16:00 on Sunday 3 March 2024 at CASHPOINT Arena.
What was the final score in SCR Altach vs Lask Linz?
SCR Altach 0 - 0 Lask Linz.
Where is SCR Altach vs Lask Linz being played?
The match is being played at CASHPOINT Arena.
What competition is SCR Altach vs Lask Linz part of?
SCR Altach vs Lask Linz is a Regular Season - 21 fixture in the Bundesliga (Austria).
Who is favourite to win SCR Altach vs Lask Linz?
Our statistical model gives SCR Altach a 30% chance of winning, Lask Linz a 38% chance, and a 32% chance of a draw — making Lask Linz the favourite.
Will both teams score in SCR Altach vs Lask Linz?
Our model estimates a 42% probability that both SCR Altach and Lask Linz will score (BTTS).
Will SCR Altach vs Lask Linz have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 34%.
What is the head-to-head record between SCR Altach and Lask Linz?
Record (3 meetings): SCR Altach 0W | Draws 0 | Lask Linz 3W.
What form are SCR Altach and Lask Linz in?
SCR Altach (all comps): 1W-2D-7L in 10 | 0.50 PPG | GF 0.70 / GA 1.70 | L5 W-L-D-L-L. Lask Linz (all comps): 4W-4D-2L in 10 | 1.60 PPG | GF 1.30 / GA 1.00 | L5 D-W-D-D-L.
🧮 Model Insight
Where the Numbers Come From
Working from SCR Altach's attack rating (0.83) and Lask Linz's defence rating (0.84), the model arrives at 0.95 expected goals for the home side. Flip it around — Lask Linz's attack (0.96x) against SCR Altach's defence (1.02x) — and the away total comes out at 1.11.
These ratings are built from 42/42 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
The Exact-Score Picture
Run the expected-goals figures through the full scoreline distribution and 1-1 emerges as the single most likely result, at 15.2%. Close behind: 0-0 (14.4%), 0-1 (12.4%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 42% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Lask Linz Win
30%
3.34
32%
3.15
38%
2.61
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
14.1%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
13.4%
Draw
0 – 0
12.7%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.95
SCR Altach xG
Total xG
2.07
1.11
Lask Linz xG
3.34
30%
Home win
3.15
32%
Draw
2.61
38%
Away win
Goals Markets
61%
Over 1.5
1.64
39%
Under 1.5
2.56
34%
Over 2.5
2.94
66%
Under 2.5
1.52
16%
Over 3.5
6.25
84%
Under 3.5
1.19
6%
Over 4.5
16.67
94%
Under 4.5
1.06
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
42%
BTTS Yes
2.38
58%
BTTS No
1.73
Clean Sheet
33%
3.05
39%
2.59
Win to Nil
10%
10.19
15%
6.75
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12.7 | 14.1 | 7.9 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 12.0 | 13.4 | 7.5 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 5.7 | 6.4 | 3.6 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for SCR Altach vs Lask Linz?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 15.2%.
How many goals are SCR Altach and Lask Linz expected to score?
The model projects 0.95 expected goals for SCR Altach and 1.11 for Lask Linz, a combined total of 2.07.
How confident is the prediction model for SCR Altach vs Lask Linz?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 38%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Recent Form Overview
Across their last 52 outings, SCR Altach have picked up 0.87 PPG on a 10W 15D 27L record — W-L-D-L-L across the most recent five. The sample for SCR Altach is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Lask Linz's form line: 23W 19D 10L from 52 games, 1.69 PPG, last five D-W-D-D-L. The sample for Lask Linz is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Put side by side, Lask Linz are the form team by 0.82 points per game — a gap wide enough to matter, though form alone rarely tells the whole story against SCR Altach.
How They Fare by Venue
On home soil, SCR Altach have posted 0.96 PPG from 26 outings (6W 7D 13L).
On the road, Lask Linz have gone 8W 13D 5L from 26 away games — 1.42 PPG when travelling.
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Lask Linz come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
Attack vs Defence
SCR Altach are averaging 0.87 goals scored and 1.58 conceded per game recently; Lask Linz are on 1.54 scored and 1.06 conceded.
Last 52 Results — Bundesliga
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
SCR Altach
Blended
Lask Linz
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are SCR Altach and Lask Linz in coming into this match?
SCR Altach have gone 10W 15D 27L in their last 52 games (0.87 PPG), while Lask Linz have gone 23W 19D 10L in their last 52 (1.69 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — SCR Altach at home or Lask Linz away?
Lask Linz's away record (1.42 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — SCR Altach at home: 0.96 PPG; Lask Linz away: 1.42 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
The Rivalry So Far
These sides have met 10 times that we have on record, stretching back to August 2022 — a rivalry that has played out across roughly 3 years. Every recorded meeting has come in Bundesliga. They last met on 9 November 2025, roughly 9 months ago.
Notable Numbers
For context on how one-sided this fixture can get: Lask Linz won 4-1 on 27 Aug 2022, the biggest margin either side has managed in the series.
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, SCR Altach have gone 1W 1D 3L from 5 meetings on their own ground against Lask Linz — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 10 Meetings
2
SCR Altach
2
Draws
6
Lask Linz
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between SCR Altach and Lask Linz?
From 10 meetings on record, SCR Altach have won 2, Lask Linz have won 6, and 2 have been drawn.
When did SCR Altach and Lask Linz last play each other?
They last met on 9 November 2025, when Lask Linz 1-0 SCR Altach.
Who has won more matches between SCR Altach and Lask Linz?
Lask Linz have the better head-to-head record, with 6 wins from 10 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
Early Goal Trends
SCR Altach are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 65% of their matches.
Lask Linz are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 73% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 27% of the time. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 19% of those situations.
Full-Time Markets
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — SCR Altach 50%, Lask Linz 62% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 38% (SCR Altach) and 35% (Lask Linz).
On the defensive side: SCR Altach have failed to score in 35% of games; Lask Linz in 27%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = SCR Altach home games / Lask Linz away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when SCR Altach play Lask Linz?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 50% of SCR Altach's games and 62% of Lask Linz's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is SCR Altach vs Lask Linz usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 38% of SCR Altach's recent games and 35% of Lask Linz's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do SCR Altach and Lask Linz tend to score early?
SCR Altach have had a goal before half-time in 65% of their recent matches, Lask Linz in 73% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at SCR Altach's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
The points were shared at CASHPOINT Arena, Regular Season - 21, as SCR Altach and Lask Linz drew 0-0 in the Bundesliga. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting SCR Altach 0.95 xG and Lask Linz 1.11 xG, a combined 2.07. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. SCR Altach fell 1.0 short of their projected output. Lask Linz landed 1.1 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of SCR Altach attack 0.83 / defence 1.02 against Lask Linz attack 0.96 / defence 0.84, drawn from 42/42 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it SCR Altach 30% | Draw 32% | Lask Linz 38%, with Lask Linz to win its most likely call at 38%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 32%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 34%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 62% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 42% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 45% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (SCR Altach 48%, Lask Linz 42%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 53%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
SCR Altach's trading profile (52 games, 26 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 48% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 40% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Lask Linz's trading profile (52 games, 26 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 58% of their matches — today it did not.
Form vs Result
On form, Lask Linz arrived the stronger side — 1.69 PPG against 0.87. The form guide was only half-right: the stronger side did not lose, but could not convert the edge into a win. SCR Altach (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 0.92 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.31 average — tighter than their form line. Lask Linz (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.35 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.12 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (miss). The model got the gist right while missing on the margins.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.